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Better Know the Ones Left Off the Ballot #15: Rafael Soriano

Once again we find ourselves here. This series takes a look at people who qualified for the Hall of Fame ballot (10 or more years played in the MLB), but were found wanting when weighed by the Selection Committee, who are in charge of that sort of thing. All the rest are linked at the bottom. Now to the guy.

Rafael Soriano

Bill James Hall of Fame Monitor: 40
Career bWAR (14 years): 13.8
Stats: 24-28, 207 SV, 2.89 ERA, 591 G, 343 GF, 636.1 IP, 197 BB, 641 K, 1.078 WHIP
League Leading Stats: Saves (45, 2010)
Awards: All-Star (2010)
Teams Played For: Mariners (2002-06), Braves (2007-09), Rays (2010), Yankees (2011-12), Nationals (2013-14), Cubs (2015)
Maybe the Selection Committee has something against relief pitchers. Maybe they're biased towards the name Rafael. For whatever reason, two elite bullpen arms with the Spanish spelling of the name of the red Ninja Turtle were left off the ballot this year. You can find out about Rafael Betancourt if you haven’t already, and if you ask me, I think Soriano deserved to be on the ballot even more. Betancourt was certainly a very good pitcher, and did what he did for quite a long time, even after debuting in the majors at 28 years of age. That should most definitely be applauded. The biggest difference is that when Soriano was at his best, he was undeniably one of the greatest relievers in the game. His Hall of Fame Monitor score, 40, is the highest of any of the qualified candidates I've covered. He's also the second best relief pitcher to ever wear number 29. Now to figure out why the Committee passed on someone with a sub-3.00 career ERA and over 200 saves.
Rafael's Storyano began in 1996, when the Seattle Mariners signed him as an international amateur out of the Dominican Republic. A scout watched him play for twelve minutes, and gave him a $5,000 contract. He would end up as the best international signing the Mariners would ever have, if you don't count that Edgar guy, or that Ichiro guy, or that Felix guy, or a dozen other guys. Heck they signed this guy named Ortiz who... I'm getting off track. Sori. Rafael's first two seasons were spent off the mound, as he was signed as an outfielder. Problem: he did not do very well at the hitting bit. He finished his 1998 season of rookie ball with a very Sorryano batting average of .167. Expecting to be released that offseason, he was surely surprised to find out he was actually recruited because the Mariners' scouting figured the cannon attached to his right arm could be used for throwing guys out from the mound instead. His next season was his first at any level above Rookie ball, and it was at a position he hadn't played professionally before. Soriano started 14 games for the Everett AquaSox of the A-league, and went 5-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 83 strikeouts in 75.1 innings pitched. I think Seattle might've known what he was talking about. Over the course of the next two seasons, Sori moved up to double-A, and got named one of the best prospects in Seattle's slew of talent. Just one month into his age-22 season, he got a call from the big dogs: the Mariners wanted him to join the Major League squad. This came after not being able to showcase his talents in spring training due to immigration not believing he was 22. Frankly, if you saw him pitch, that would be hard to believe. Might as well call him Rafael Hoaryano.
Sori's first appearance in the Majors was in relief, after Joel Piniero threw six strong innings and left the game with Seattle up 6-2. It also came against the Boston Red Sox, whose lineup included Johnny Damon, Manny Ramirez, and Nomar Garciaparra. And remember, he's facing the 2002 versions of those guys. After three innings of work, Soriano had faced ten batters, allowed two hits and no runs, struck out Shea Hillenbrand, and earned himself a save in his first Major League appearance. In his next outing, he'd strike out 5 in two innings of work versus the Blue Jays. That was apparently all manager Lou Piniella needed to see, because the next time Soriano threw a pitch for the Mariners, a week and a half later, it was as a member of the starting rotation. Somehow, less than a year after the Mariners won 116 games in a season, they felt it was perfectly okay to have a 22-year-old start for them after five innings of big league work. Seattle, man. Facing the Baltimore Orioles, Soriano threw 5.2 innings, allowed three runs, and struck out two. Unfortunately, he took the loss, as the Mariners only managed two runs. Seven more starts would leave him with an 0-3 record and 32 strikeouts in 47.1 innings pitched before he got shut down due to a shoulder injury. Seems his luck was Pooriano. After he came back, the Mariners decided to reassign him to the minor leagues to focus on developing other pitches, since, you know, he only started doing this a couple years ago. He'd finish his season as a San Antonio Mission, but had had his first taste of the Show and wanted to get back to settle the Score-iano.
Many people began taking notice of Sori’s promise, and despite his rookie limits being broken, he moved up the prospect boards of lots of publications who devote much more time to that than I do. His first couple months in 2003 were spent starting games in AAA, before the Mariners once again needed pitching help, and so he got recalled in the middle of June. This time, their need was in the bullpen, and Soriano showed they couldn't have made a better choice. In 34 games and 45.1 innings of relief to finish the season, Rafael Soriano allowed just 7 runs. That's a 1.39 ERA over three months. He struck out 58 batters, walked just 9, allowed 23 hits, and got named Rookie of the Month that August to boot. All this at 23 years old. When the cannon is firing that well, it's pretty hard to Ignore-iano. In 2004, he started off the year with... five runs allowed in two total innings pitched across three games. And he took the loss in two of those games. That's the kind of start he'd be apt to Deplore-iano. Guess it's time for another trip to the minors. After a couple starts as a Tacoma Rainier seemed to have ironed out the kinks, he came back in May, but something still seemed off. He got sent back down after just 1.1 innings over 3 games, which saw him still find time to surrender a run. Discomfort was arising in his throwing arm, and after longer than it should have taken, the problem was finally diagnosed as a torn UCL, and he would pitch no More-iano. Although he would lose a year of pitching, Sori was still only 25 when he came back to Seattle in September of 2005. Only getting into 7 games, but still performing, allowing just 2 runs and striking out 9 in 7.1 innings. Oh, also, kind of important, the Mariners sucked now. Still, his cannon was primed and ready to leave a mark as a future part of the pitching Core-iano. 2006 was the first time he spent the whole season on the Major League roster, and he made the most of it. Slotted into the role of setup man for newly anointed closer J.J. Putz, Soriano pitched 60 innings in 53 games, struck out 65, and notched a 2.25 ERA. Probably would've been lower if a Vlad Guerrero line drive hadn't struck him in the head and sidelined him for all of September with a concussion. Thankfully, it appears there were no long-lasting effects from the hit. At least, for Soriano, because it may have caused the Mariners to get brain damage. That winter, Seattle apparently wanted more starting pitching. In a move that I’m sure made sense to someone at the time, they traded Sori to the Atlanta Braves for middle-of-the-road left-handed starter Horacio Ramirez. Ramirez would go on to put up a 7.16 ERA in 20 starts as a Mariner before he was released. Did Soriano's cannon do any better as he wheeled it into Atlanta?
In the year 2006, Indians closer Bob Wickman had a fantastic setup man named Rafael who would end up taking over for him following his departure from the team. In 2007, he was an Atlanta Brave, and had a different fantastic setup man, also named Rafael, who also took over for him following his departure from that team. He never pitched again after 2007. Do you have evidence of a conspiracy? Email any findings to [email protected]. Soriano, the second of those to Rafaels, did pretty well in his role, finishing the year with 19 holds. Tacked on a couple saves as well after the Braves released Wickman in late August to give Sori a chance at closer. After 2008 became lost due to a something in his elbow Tore-iano, 2009 would be his first whole year spent as a closer. He'd finally get the chance to let that cannon fire. 27 saves in 31 opportunities, a 2.97 ERA, and a career high 102 strikeouts in 75.2 innings. Not too shabby. Listed as the 22nd best free agent available by MLB Trade Rumors, many people pictured him getting pretty big money. That he did, with a one-year, $7.25 million contract making him one of the higher-paid relievers in the game, and the highest paid pitcher on his team. Weird thing was, it was an arbitrated contract from the Braves, who had expected him to test the market rather than accept their offer. And didn’t they have Tim Hudson, Derek Lowe, and Javier Vazquez making upwards of $10 million? Yes, but don't Worryano, you’re getting ahead of me. A day after he accepted the contract, he was traded for Jesse Chavez. His cannon would be firing elsewhere, and frankly, the battalion he joined were really doing him a Favoriano, as they couldn't have been a better fit.
The Tampa Bay Rays had just completed a season that saw them finish 84-78 despite a fantastic hitting core. Particularly egregious were two highly-paid relievers exploding due to age. Troy Percival and Chad Bradford turned 39 and 34 respectively, and both showed it that year, putting up a combined -0.1 bWAR despite making over $8 million between their two contracts. Neither were brought back, and rather than go after a big-name free agent, they decided to use that space on a single, $7.25 million contract. Since the Braves hadn't expected Soriano to accept arbitration, his trade price was not high. In their mind, it was too much money. But to the Rays, it was at best an effective bullpen arm, and at worst just a retread of Bradford and Percival that they could dump after a season. In other words, it was low-risk, high-Reward-iano (you're on thin ice). After seeing how effective he'd been at closer, helped by a good spring training, Sori was given the closing job. At the end of the year, in 62.1 innings pitched and 48 save opportunities, he had not only converted a league-leading 45 of them, but had also allowed only 14 runs, 12 of them earned. Of the 64 games he appeared in, the Rays won 57 of them. He became the first person to win two DHL Delivery Man Monthly Awards in the same season when he didn't allow a run in May and saved 11 games in July. Then he won a third one after saving 10 games and allowing just two runs (one unearned) in August. One of those saves would see Soriano throw nine pitches and get three strikeouts for the 58th immaculate inning in MLB history, the 6th one to result in a save. At season's end, in a league that still had Mariano Rivera, Francisco Rodriguez, and peak Jonathan Papelbon, the reliever who collected more AL MVP and Cy Young votes than any other bullpen arm was Rafael Soriano. He finished 8th in the ballots for the AL Cy Young, ahead of a very good season from Royals reliever and person-who-has-a-very-similar-last-name Joakim Soria, and an 18-win campaign by Justin Verlander. He also came in 12th in AL MVP voting, ahead of every other pitcher. Even David Price, his teammate who finished second in the Cy Young running, didn't show up on any MVP ballots. But Sori did, collecting 21 votes all-told. Guess that's what happens when your season looks like this: 1.73 ERA, 36 hits and 4 home runs allowed, 57 strikeouts and 14 walks in 62.1 innings, 45 saves, 0.802 WHIP. Seems one season as a Ray really let Rafael unleash and Roariano. His team also had the best record in the league, which means they made the playoffs. Even if they got dispatched by a very good Rangers squad, Sori still found time to slip a save into his first postseason experience. That offseason, because he did very well as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays, they were left with the feeling that just one season was Satisfactoryano (you could have ended this several paragraphs ago and it would have still been too played out). After a season like that, there's no way they could afford the caliber of cannon that his arm commanded. Who could?
The 2010-11 offseason had a myriad of good free agents. People like Adrian Beltre, Carl Crawford, and Cliff Lee were the biggest names, with future Hall of Famers like Vladimir Guerrero and Jim Thome also on the market. Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera were also possible opt-outs. Based on of that, where do you think MLB Trade Rumors ranked Rafael Soriano? HOW ABOUT 7TH? RIGHT ABOVE THE ACTUAL MISTER SANDMAN HIMSELF? That's how good he was believed to be. People expected him to not only match up to Mo in the coming years, but possibly surpass him. The Yankees, seeing that as a threat to their closer’s legacy, decided to pick up both Rivera and Soriano to ensure the two wouldn't be competing to see who was better. With the best closer of all time firmly entrenched at that role, Sori entered the familiar role of setup man. Based on his apparent talents, some felt that assignment was Derogatoryano (you have got to be kidding me), and even he might have been affected by that percetpion. After a month-and-a-half in pinstripes, his cannon was clearly misfiring. Having allowing only 12 earned runs over the course of the previous season, he had already given up 9 before April was over. A DL trip with elbow trouble kept him out of action until August, hopefully restoring him back to his former Gloryano (I swear if you don't stop). He did fine down the stretch, holding 14 games in the last 2 months of the season. His team also won 97 games, so back to the postseason! This time, Sori got to lose to the Tigers in the ALDS, even taking a loss despite only allowing one run in 4.2 innings of work. The next year would surelybe different, with Sori all ready to be the best setup man he could be for Mariano's final season. That is, until Mo went down with an injury and Soriano was called upon to be the closer. No big deal, just the expectation of emulating the greatest closer in the history of mankind. And wouldn't you know it? He actually did it. Sori's final line for 2012 was a 2-1 record, 2.26 ERA, 42 saves, 69 strikeouts in 67.2 innings, and a 20th-place MVP finish. He even saw the Yankees make it past the Orioles in the division series this time, tossing three-and-a-third scoreless innings along the way. Those pesky Tigers swept them in the ALCS, but Sori had left his mark. After turning in a season at closer that resembled Mo himself, he declined his contract option, and entered the market once again, Having just clearly confirmed that whoever signed him would get all of what he still had in Store-iano (you need to stop).
After being named just the 17th best free agent by MLB Trade Rumors (ugh, Snore-iano), he accepted a 2-year, $28 million contract with the Washington Nationals. He was immediately made the closer, because, you know, that's what you do when someone emulates Mariano Rivera. In the two seasons he spent as a National, Soriano never well and truly recaptured his better days exhibited in Mo's stead in New York or his only year in Tampa Bay. His record was 7-4 and his ERA was 3.15. Not exactly what you want when you make a reliever the fourth highest-paid player on the team, but by no means a Bore-iano (I am begging you to stop). Still a serviceable closer, though, saving 75 games over those two years, the most he saved for any single team and the third most in the National League over that span. Who was he behind? Oh just a couple nobodies named Craig Kimbrel and Aroldis Chapman. Whatever that counts Foriano (that was your worst one and they've all been awful). So you'd expect, after some stats like that, he'd get a nice new contract that offseason. The problem there was that Soriano suffered a slump at the worst possible time. After only allowing 5 total runs through his first 41 appearances in 2014, he surrendered 17 in the last two months of the season. He lost the closer job, and his reputation took a nosedive. As a result, he'd spend six months in free agent Purgatoryano (I will stab you) before the Cubs threw him a pro-rated $2 million contract in June 2015. This after two years of getting paid over $20 million and saving 75 games. Just goes to show if you go cold at the wrong time, even with a great pedigree, other teams don't want to take a risk opening the (don't say it) Dooriano (I swear upon all that is holy). It also didn't help that he was 35 now. Chicago decided to take a chance on him, and despite the fact he won 2 games in 6 July appearances, those would be his only games as a Cub. That offseason, following another visa dispute preventing him from joining the Toronto Blue Jays, Soriano decided to retire. The cannon had finally become decommissioned.
Rafael Soriano, in my humble opinion, should have been on the ballot. As a reliever, he showed up in not one, but two AL MVP races. Only three other relievers have achieved that distinction in the 21st century: Mariano Rivera, Joe Nathan, and Greg Holland. The first was the greatest closer to ever live, the second will most likely spend several years on the ballot, and the third is still playing, but very likely will appear on the ballot as well. All that, and Sori gets left off. In particular, I think he should've been on because of a certain Heath Bell who appeared on the ballot last year. Here's a comparison of their career stats:
Bell: 628.2 IP, 3.49 ERA, 112 ERA+, 168 SV, 637 K, 1.269 WHIP, 7.1 bWAR
Sori: 636.1 IP, 2.89 ERA, 144 ERA+, 209 SV, 641 K, 1.078 WHIP, 13.8 bWAR
Why did Bell show up on the ballot and Soriano didn't? My current theory is that Bell made it to three All-Star games, while Soriano only made it to one. Bell still didn't have as good numbers as Sori in two of those three All-Star seasons, but who am I to suggest that's a bad way to figure out who's on the Hall of Fame ballot? Anyway, regardless of how he stacks up against other players, Sori's career is one that deserves to be remembered in some way. So keep him in your Memoriano. I absolutely detest how many of those I was able to come up with.
While he had better seasons in New York, more saves in Washington, and more time played in Seattle and Atlanta, Soriano's career wouldn't be what it ended up being without his time in Tampa Bay. For that, he would visit the Hall in a Rays cap, marveling at the fact that his last name and Mariano Rivera's first name share five letters.
Here are more
#1: Randy Choate
#2: Kevin Gregg
#3: Dan Uggla
#4: Josh Hamilton
#5: Delmon Young
#6: Willie Bloomquist
#7: Grady Sizemore
#8: Kevin Correia
#9: David DeJesus
#10: Rafael Betancourt
#11: Clint Barmes
#12: Adam LaRoche
#13: Grant Balfour
#14: Randy Wolf
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What Was The Best Season Ever by a Reliever? - an Analysis

Relievers. Who are they? What do they do? Until one bright spring day in 1993, nobody knew the answers to these simple questions. Then, MLB scientists made a breakthrough in their labs in the bowels of the Astrodome, and Mariano Rivera sprung forth from his mother’s womb fully formed and sawed off Jason Giambi. But the question they couldn’t answer is ‘what is the best season ever by a reliever?’. At the time, the technology was simply not expansive enough to begin delving into this question. Now, thanks to huge leaps in science, we can finally answer something that has plagued the minds of man since the dawn of humanity.
Now, clearly, the answer is Francisco Rodriguez, since he’s the single season save leader and that’s the best stat to measure relievers by. But let’s ignore that.
You can just look up which reliever has the most WAR in a single season, which is 1975 Goose Gossage by bWAR (8.2!?!?!) or 1977 Bruce Sutter by fWAR (5.2). The reason for this difference is because BaseballReference uses runs allowed to calculate bWAR, and FanGraphs uses FIP to calculate fWAR. Since relievers pitch such small sample sizes, there’s often a large gap between their FIP and their runs allowed (RA). Since we’re looking at the best season, and not the best player, I’m going to use bWAR (and thus RA) for this exercise.
(If you don’t know what FIP is, it stands for Fielding Independent Pitching, which looks at only the outcomes of at-bats which are solely between the pitcher and the batter - home runs, walks, and strikeouts. These stats are thrown together and then given a normalizing factor so that the average league FIP matches the average league ERA. FIP is a wonderful predictive tool, to the point where it is more predictive of a pitcher’s ERA next year than a pitcher’s ERA is. I’d rather not use it here because it doesn’t look at the actual results - if I was trying to find the best reliever, and not the best season, then I’d use FIP.)
Using a simple value added stat is incredibly biased towards 1970’s middle relievers who would throw 100+ innings in a year, though. WAR is a counting stat, so the more they pitch, the more they rack up. What about bWAIP? One BBRef search later, and I have this table.
Player bWAR bWA100IP IP Year Tm
Ted Abernathy 6.2 5.84 106.1 1967 CIN
Steve Mingori 3.3 5.87 56.2 1971 CLE
Michael Jackson 3.8 5.94 64.0 1998 CLE
Bruce Sutter 6.5 6.07 107.1 1977 CHC
Jose Mesa 3.9 6.09 64.0 1995 CLE
Zack Britton 4.1 6.11 67.0 2016 BAL
Mariano Rivera 4.3 6.13 70.2 2008 NYY
John Hiller 7.9 6.31 125.1 1973 DET
Terry Fox 3.7 6.38 58.0 1962 DET
Jonathan Papelbon 5.0 7.34 68.1 2006 BOS
This is the top 10 relief seasons by bWA100IP, minimum 45 IP. This is a fairly tight pack all the way up until the final entry, where Papelbon’s 2006 leads by near 1bWA100IP. This seems like a good candidate for the best relief year ever.
(Interestingly enough, Bill James’ list of the 100 best reliever seasons ever, written in 2007, doesn’t include Jonathan Papelbon’s 2006 season. Joe Nathan’s 2006, where Nathan pitched the same number of innings and had a much worse ERA, made the list at #27. This is a reminder that Bill James is a fallible human being.)
So, if your criteria for best year by a reliever is bWA100IP, then the best option, by far, is Jonathan Papelbon. But before we look at the other options, here’s why Papelbon’s season was the best.
There have been nine reliever seasons (min. 40 IP) with a lower ERA than Papelbon’s 2006 0.92. Why aren’t they higher in bWAIP?
Player WAR IP ERA Year Tm R ER
Zack Britton 4.1 67.0 0.54 2016 BAL 7 4
Joey Devine 1.9 45.2 0.59 2008 OAK 7 3
Fernando Rodney 3.7 74.2 0.60 2012 TBR 9 5
Dennis Eckersley 3.3 73.1 0.61 1990 OAK 9 5
Rob Murphy 2.5 50.1 0.72 1986 CIN 4 4
Rich Gossage 2.3 46.2 0.77 1981 NYY 6 4
Blake Treinen 4.1 80.1 0.78 2018 OAK 12 7
Bill Henry 2.5 52.0 0.87 1964 CIN 9 5
Dennys Reyes 2.2 50.2 0.89 2006 MIN 8 5
Jonathan Papelbon 5.0 68.1 0.92 2006 BOS 8 7
To begin with, bWAR uses RA for its calculations, which uses both earned and unearned runs. Dennys Reyes, Bill Henry, Blake Treinen, Rich Gossage, Fernando Rodney, Dennis Eckersley, and Joey Devine all had more RA/IP in their respective seasons. (The difference between their ERA and their bWAIP isn’t solely explained by this, but it’s good enough for now. We’ll get to that in a moment). This leaves 1986 Rob Murphy and 2016 Zach Britton. Why don’t they stack up?
The answer is a little thing I’d like to call ‘run environment’, which is encapsulated by BaseballReference’s stat RA9Avg. It takes what an average pitcher’s run allowed/9 innings (RA/9) was that year, and then adjusts it for park factors, for the defense, and for who that specific pitcher faced. If a pitcher had a relatively high run environment, it means he would be pitching in batter’s parks, faced tough opponents, had a bad defense behind him, etc. For a perfectly average pitcher, their RA/9 will match their run environment.
For Murphy, his run environment was 4.11. For Britton, it was 4.32. For Papelbon, it was a whopping 5.00. This makes a huge difference - Papelbon may have gotten slightly worse results, but he was starting from a much more difficult positions.
For another good way to illuminate the differences run environments can cause, I can bring up one of my favorite WAR comparisons! In 1965, Jim Maloney equalled Sandy Koufax in bWAR (and surpassed him if you count batting WAR) despite throwing 80 fewer innings with an ERA 0.50 higher. How did he do this? Simple. Sandy Koufax played in cavernous Dodger Stadium with a strong Dodger defense behind him, and so had a run environment of 3.49 RA/9. Jim Maloney, pitching at batter-friendly Crosley Stadium with a poor Reds defense behind him, had a run environment of 4.34, 0.85 more than Koufax. Since Maloney is expected to give up far more runs than Koufax and only gives up somewhat more runs, he has a large bWAIP lead.
Run environment is 99% of the explanation behind ‘why does WAR give this weird result?’ questions.
Most of the best reliever seasons by ERA have relatively a low run environment - after all, good defense and a friendly park factor really helps a reliever keep the runs down. Fernando Rodney had a run environment of 3.72 in his 0.60 ERA season, because he pitched at the Tropicana and had the Rays defense behind him. Mariano Rivera consistently had a high run environment (career average of 4.72) due to pitching in Yankee Stadium with horrible, horrible, horrible Yankees defenses behind him going against tough AL East opponents. He never had that ‘lucky’ season with a sub-1 ERA, which would likely have put him on this list. He has to live with the stigma of simply being the greatest reliever of all time, unfortunately. Papelbon had an incredible season in a run environment that was incredibly ill-suited for having an incredible season, so his bWAIP is leaps and bounds ahead of anyone else.
So is Jonathan Papelbon’s 2006 the greatest single season by a reliever ever? Well, maybe. Pound-for-pound, it certainly is. But some relievers can pound more often than others, even if they're not pounding quite as hard. Should 70’s and 80’s relievers be penalized for being slightly worse in twice as many innings as Papelbon? John Hiller’s 1973 is a good candidate if you prefer quantity over quality - 7.9 bWAR in 125 innings in relief. Of course, you can flip it around - why penalize Papelbon for pitching less when relievers of that era were expected to pitch less? With the bWAIP, it’s safe to say Papelbon was more dominant in his role than Hiller was in his.
Are there arguments for other pitchers and other seasons? Absolutely. Perhaps you prefer FIP for some reason - then you can probably give the nod to 2003 Eric Gagne, with 4.7 fWAR in 82 innings. I don’t think FIP works well for this type of analysis, because it doesn’t deal with actual results, but you do you. Perhaps you want to dive into BABIP and pick a season that wasn't as lucky - this seems like a fool's errand, since the best reliever seasons are all lucky ones.
Of course, if you believe the best ability is availability, the nod goes to Mike Marshall, who appeared in 106 (!?!) games for the 1974 Dodgers. His 2.42 ERA is tarnished somewhat by the 3.33 run environment at Dodger Stadium at the time, however. Marshall apparently still has very interesting ideas on training to be able to pitch that many innings, but no MLB training staff will let him near their pitchers for some reason.
Now, I know we’d all like someone else to have the best relief season ever in baseball - someone who didn’t attack teammates, someone who didn’t watch porn in the clubhouse, someone who doesn’t hit Manny Macha - ok, I’m fine with that one. But why couldn’t it have been someone like Eric Gagne, or Robb Nen, or Heathcliff Slocumb? I don’t think I’ve ever heard anything negative about those guys. Maybe it’s just time to move on, and let bygones be bygones.
As I understand, Papelbon is just 24 hours from picking a new team, so it’ll be exciting to see him back in the league. Hopefully, he doesn’t choke his comeback.
submitted by SirParsifal to baseball [link] [comments]

State of baseball scorebug designs (As of Feb 11, 2021) - A more detailed writeup

State of baseball scorebug designs (As of Feb 11, 2021) - A more detailed writeup
So apparently I’ve found my calling on this sub as a scorebug connoisseur - So let’s review all the scorebugs all the regional and national channels has used for MLB for 2020, and I’ll give them a score on a scale from 1 to 10. Mostly I’ll speak on the design, but I’ll bring up some points on legibility.
This will be a more detailed writeup for every scorebug, so this will be a long post.
If you want to see the score bug’s design again as a refresher, just click the network name, I’ve capped them all for your convenience.
Hope I beat the buzzer for offseason posts and if I miss a scorebug I’ll amend this post. Won’t do MLB International bug because I literally can’t access that.
TBS
https://preview.redd.it/rmsj6n26fqg61.png?width=402&format=png&auto=webp&s=f37752163485f8e70058898fcf164ae14a51860d
It’s still the industrial-metallic style they’ve used since 2018. I’m very slightly annoyed of batter-pitcher info asymmetry, where the batting average/tonight’s batting results isn’t on the same footing as the pitch count and is not shown. To be fair the pitch count indicator is clear, and TBS has obviously found the winning formula since they haven’t budged from 2018’s design at all. It has enough info and it presents them decently, still no radar gun info tho, that was kicked after the 2017 experiment.
Only thing of note is that for 2020, the bug is placed in the lower third now, and third outs have now discarded the special “MID/END 8” splash, opting for the same TBS/MLB logo fly-in with the exact “scorebug initiation” animations when it returns from commercial but in reverse. Not the best, I prefer the special third out splashes as it highlights the physical scoreboard metaphor where it’s imperfect, and I find the metallic design to be just a tad outdated for 2021, but it’s readable, and certainly better than the humongous brick for 2016. Ugh.
It’s alright. 6/10
ESPN
https://preview.redd.it/gx52uyb7fqg61.png?width=1760&format=png&auto=webp&s=6bf616116efaa0dccf38d19379def7ecd7049e77
The same 2018 endeavor returns with the oversized bug with one extra addition for the playoffs - The series scoreline. It’s oversized, but it does manage to feature BOTH batter and pitcher info, even if pitch counts are in its own box which makes the drawers of the players below the team boxes look like an afterthought and just slapped on. Extra credit tho: They included the batting order of the player AB!
Speaking of afterthoughts, you know how the team boxes as a whole, aka the colored rectangles have the same height as the play action boxes in black? Well, stupidly, ESPN just shoved the series scoreline ONLY for the two team boxes, so the dumb pitcher and batter info juts out the bottom like a sore thumb. I mean, you could pull the bar all the way across to at least make the whole thing a tidy rectangle right? Or hell, do it like the out-of-town tracker on the right where they found something to occupy the space so it’s even. Uh. I prefer the original 2016 Helvetica SNB design, at least that thing doesn’t take up 1/3 of the screen.
You tried. 4/10
Fox (ARI, DET, MIA, KC, ATL, STL, MIN, CIN, SD, TEX, LAA, CLE, MIL, TB)
https://preview.redd.it/88pjinl4fqg61.png?width=412&format=png&auto=webp&s=31a041f63a4ac48644679beed1671c8935cc61dd
Hallmark of just good design. From the neatly ordered rectangle in the lower-right-hand corner, to the timeless home run splash with concise info, to the right-positioned base indicator that transforms into line scores at will, to the rich and neatly-stacked pitcher-batter duel with radar guns and the batting order, need I say more? Fonts are high contrast, legible, and stunning beautiful to look at while not being distracting.
One thing to note tho, during the playoffs they switched the yellow base lights to white for the indicators for a game or two and because of how everything is black and white in the side panels, I thought the bases loaded indicators were bases empty for a half-second. Clear highlight color like yellow solves the issue. Don’t play with fire again.
Timeless. 10/10
NBC Sports (OAK, SF, PHI, CHW)
https://preview.redd.it/zj2uuuv2fqg61.png?width=614&format=png&auto=webp&s=f45dbcbd35fc6353ca694cd028a70b3e77507096
NBC is always one step behind on these things. Still obnoxious (for 2020) skeuomorphic and glossy team bars, and the complete absence of much pitcher-batter info. All you get is a pitch count and a radar flash for every new pitch. It’s passable for some year like 1998, that’s for sure, but when other stations have freaking leap-frogged your designs and became more informative, maybe spruce it up a little?
I suspect heavily that NBC saves a lot of manpower by not having their crews work extra to throw up the new pitcher and batter every 3 minutes, but I mean, you have the pitcher splashes for every bullpen summon. Come on. Your home run splash is still epic though.
Works but should try harder. 6/10
AT&T SportsNet (HOU, COL, SEA, PIT)
https://preview.redd.it/gekpj541fqg61.png?width=626&format=png&auto=webp&s=9d715c2044521d51cb52dace21f69a8567e6936a
Very, very weird. First of all, I’d just like to say how much I hate when scorebugs are one-sided. Play-by-play? Fine. When you can’t even award the courtesy of popping a home run splash to your opponent, that’s low. Such is the ballad of AT&T’s graphics. Seriously, it just ticks up the runs and empties the base lights. It’s a weird design where the ball-strike count is inexplicably shoved into the corner next to the giant bar for the pitcher and his pitch count. No batter info anywhere.
There are so many weird elements, like the vertically-aligned out lights that confuses me for a good five seconds before I realized they are out lights. A redo is necessary, but a rethinking is where it’s at.
Change it. 2/10
SportsNet LA (LAD)
https://preview.redd.it/xg45mskzeqg61.png?width=524&format=png&auto=webp&s=d16c1a55b149adbb7844c35a97a0ec9cde1d477b
I’ve always had a soft spot for the Dodgers’ scorebug. First of all, they do innovate, this year, their scorebug has adopted a new flatter design. Their base indicators are LIVE, and update immediately instead of after the play, and the run odometecounter design as players score and it updates is cool af. It’s also the ONLY scorebug where you get extremely-detailed batter info, including the results for his last AB! Why aren’t we all doing this? But the pitcher is unnamed as a result and his count shoved into a corner.
It is really pleasing, BUT it falls into the AT&T trap on not offering your opponents the home run graphics. Oh well, for a regional bug it can only do so much. Also they ditched the third out light for a lowly cross-dissolve. Why?
Be impartial. 8/10
MASN (BAL, WSH)
https://preview.redd.it/6jai38zxeqg61.png?width=470&format=png&auto=webp&s=729d7e5083acc9f63f5d748a071b6472da4c79d6
Do you only want the bare minimum? Do you absolutely hate any form of design? Do you want ZERO home run graphics, no names anywhere, and barely any pitch counting? I mean, when your infamous 2012 bug for the 30-run TEX showing has its own HR splashes, you gotta look into the mirror and figure out why the regression in design. Idk, is this a fucking PowerPoint slideshow all this time? Small W on the design tho, your bases are faux 3D! Yay!
Too visually drab, this is so bad. AT LEAST it’s clear, but it’s not informative at all really. Death knell: your radar gun OBSCURES the ball-strike count!
Some graphics won’t kill you. 2/10
Sportsnet (TOR)
https://preview.redd.it/3wh942queqg61.png?width=430&format=png&auto=webp&s=04796fbb3c70c7588a3b082e4c24de933666e4a0
Because this is a straight copy of Fox’s bug, like seriously, even down to where the inning, outs, and ball-strike count are placed, I’ll only focus on the differences. The immediate disappearance of the ball-strike count once the ball is in play is novel, you’re the only people who did it and it makes a huge amount of sense. It is unneeded and I might have yoinked it for my own design. But the pitcher is still active on the mound after a ball put in play, so why take that away?
Seriously though, your home run splash where the text flies in, truly rock.
Unique spin with very, very minor complaints. 9/10
SNY (NYM)
https://preview.redd.it/uenzs05teqg61.png?width=406&format=png&auto=webp&s=de98e3bd39b1dd9d60e92db0ab065771e9932428
After years of the godawful, bland, and extremely-outdated blue box, we get this. Still an evolution with the same home run animations, but everything is flatter, slimmer, and a little more colorful. Something about how sanitized it is still make it drab, but at least we don’t have to stare at that blue blob again, even if Large Attractive homered under it.
No batter info anywhere tho.
Decent evolution. 6/10
YES (NYY)
https://preview.redd.it/1w4oaj4qeqg61.png?width=420&format=png&auto=webp&s=2499f6c0113106cf3a6f24860b282285f4d85101
Now this is a scorebug I’ll have to say NO too. First of all, low-hanging fruit, no names anywhere. Fine, that’s also an NBC problem. But why on God’s Green Earth is the active play indicators (bases, outs, ball-strike count) split BETWEEN two sides? I literally have to dart my eyes around to even catch up on occupied bases and THEN see the count.
Also wth is with the semantics of “Pitch x” for the pitch count? I know it is semantics but it looks like the next pitch is x, instead of x+1 pitches. Small complaint, but does clarity not matter any more?
Needs a redesign. 4/10
NESN (BOS)
https://preview.redd.it/cu189xmneqg61.png?width=350&format=png&auto=webp&s=8ed197dd5597180b9a0a12e62d7f05bee8530f18
Welcome to MS Paint: The Scorebug. I know people meme flat design as being created with MS Paint — But this? This is actually MS Paint, not even kidding. NEW this year is finally, a pitcher name. Wowwee, gotta wait several millennia before they bring the hitter name in. They finally decoupled the pitch counter from the main element.
But somehow this isn’t bare minimum. Whatever happened to the 3D one in 2011? AT least that one IS a design. This one just had some spotlight transition, there is literally no design. Not even 3D bases.
No design. 1/10
Marquee Sports Network (CHC)
https://preview.redd.it/uhf4kspleqg61.png?width=788&format=png&auto=webp&s=b69008256de7a9e79b524030ab2d37aa425e8df3
I’ve saved the worst for last. Here’s some homework for you, take a look at the scorebug image, and tell me how many outs there are for this current play in the image. Answer: There are two. If I can quiz you on what a scorebug is supposed to represent, you have COMPLETELY failed. Even though, you have actual batter-pitcher info! With names! The fact I can’t tell how many outs because of your dumb neutral colors design deserves a zero.
And also wholly inflexible too, can’t even put up a graphic in real-time for Alec Mills’ no-hitter, just zero runs and some weird “Final” graphic where it sits on top of the bug for a few seconds after the final out before it descends. Also, the only network to use “2-run homer” as a nomenclature for your splashes.
The graphic wants to be good but it isn’t. Your network is solely dedicated to baseball. You can’t get baseball info right. Your radar blocks out the ball-strike count for a good few seconds.
Biggest L ever. 0/10

IN CONCLUSION - Just copy what Fox is doing. Even I did.
EDIT - Some paragraph spacing fixes, and finally fixed the network name for TOR. Sorry Jays fans.
submitted by iconredesign to baseball [link] [comments]

How much (negative) WAR would I accrue playing on a Major League team for a full season?

I heard Sam Miller mention on a recent episode of Effectively Wild that you have to figure the WAR of a civilian would be considerably less than zero, possibly up to negative 20.
Let's do the math.
We'll assume a few things before we start. I am mandated by law to play every inning of every game. I am me, an overweight 30-year-old. This thought experiment doesn't put me on a specific team, just a general baseball season.
WAR is composed of six parts. Batting, fielding, baserunning, positional adjustment, league adjustment, and replacement level. I'm going to skip league adjustment because it requires me to do calculations for the whole league and it doesn't really change the player's final WAR that much. We'll assign values to these from simplest to hardest.

Fielding

I will not be allowed to take the field. This is simple. 0 runs.

Positional Adjustment

As I won't be taking the field, I'd be relegated the the Designated Hitter position. The positional adjustment for 162 games of DH is -17.5 runs.

Replacement Level

The formula for replacement level runs is Replacement Level Runs = (570 x (MLB Games/2,430)) x (Runs Per Win/lgPA) x PA
If I play 162 games and bat 9th (because duh) I figure I'd get ~600 PA. I came to this conclusion thusly: The two players with the most PA in 2019 were Marcus Semien with 747 and Whit Merrifield with 735. They were both leadoff hitters who played 162 games. So if I average that number, a leadoff hitter would get ~741 PA over the course of the season if he plays every game. The difference between a full season of a leadoff hitter and a number 9 hitter is 1 PA per game minus 1 PA every 9 games. This is because the leadoff hitter will always have one more PA than the number 9 hitter at the end of a game, unless the number 9 hitter wat the last batter to come up in the game. This would happen roughly once every nine games. So 741-(162-(162/9))= 597 PA. So let's do the calculation based on that. (We'll use 2019 numbers.) (570x(2430/2430))x(10.296/186516)x600= 18.9. This brings me up to 1.4 runs.

Batting

In response to a Chris Hayes tweet musing on whether or not he'd get a hit against a full season of Major League pitching, Eno Sarris wrote an article for Fangraphs discussing the idea. He concludes that Hayes would get about 2 hits in a season. If we assume I'm roughly at the level of Hayes (he's ten years older than me, but seems to be in better shape), I'm going to say nah. If they pitch to me like a regular Major Leaguer, there is no way in hell I would make contact, let alone get a hit. However, they will quickly realize they don't have to pitch to me like a Major Leaguer. This will change two things, to varying degrees, depending on how far they go with it. The first is whether or not I actually end up getting a hit. If I'm pitched somewhere around 70 MPH with few breaking pitches, I'm sure I'd get a couple of hits. However, I doubt this would happen, for a couple of reasons. This brings me to the second thing, walks. If I were pitched to as a big leaguer, I'd get on base via walks. It wouldn't be close to Major League average, as my eye is not close to Major League average, but at the same time I have much less incentive to swing, so I'd probably be doing that less. Which brings us back to pitchers throwing softer in order to avoid walks.
First, let's analyze how that works in real baseball. I think that while taking something off your fastball does improve a pitcher's control, it hits diminishing returns quite quickly. My reasoning for this is twofold. First, pitchers are conditioned to throw the way they throw. Slowing down too much changes everything. It messed with their mechanics in ways that wouldn't necessarily be positive. The second point is that throwing a ball from 60 feet six inches away into a box roughly 500 inches square is really hard, even for a Major League pitcher.
Take 2019 for example. In 2019, non-pitchers batted .256. Pitchers, on the other hand, batted exactly half that, .128. As a result of pitchers being that much worse at hitting, the average fastball thrown to them was 92.4 MPH, as opposed to 93.2 MPH thrown to non-pitchers. While their walk rates were only 3.1%, well below the non-pitcher rate of 8.7%, I believe this is due mostly to pitchers' ineptitude at taking walks. This is because the drop in velocity only improved their Zone% from 41.6% to 49.9%. Not an insignificant difference, but still really close in context. You'd think pitchers would take off even more than the less than 1 MPH they do when throwing to pitchers, all it does is improve Zone% by 8.3%, but they don't.
So let's assume the average fastball I see is 89 MPH. I still have a hard time believing I'd get a hit on one of the slower pitches in that range. If all I saw was the lower bounds of this range over the course of a full season, sure. But that wouldn't be the case. I'd be seeing very few of those lower bounds pitches, not to mention a nice amount of breaking balls to keep me honest. I'm going to stick with 0 hits. I'm going walk rate will probably be somewhere around pitchers' walk rates. Again, my guessing pitches would be abysmal, but if I'm smart, I'd swing as little as possible. Working the count won't be a thing, and I probably won't be able to stick to my 'swing as little as possible' rule as well as I'd like, so 3% seems reasonable. 3% of 600 PA is 18 walks.
That gets me to a .000/.030/.000 slash line. Yeah, that looks about right.
The first thing we have to do to determine my batting runs is calculate my wOBA. Using 2019 numbers, that would be (18walks x.69walk constant +0didn't do anything else )/600PA =.021 wOBA
We then determine wRAA ((.021wOBA -.320lg wOBA )/1.157wOBA Scale )x600PA = -155.2 wRAA
There is a further adjustment based on league, but since I won't be putting myself on any specific team, I don't need to do this part.
-153.8 runs

Baserunning

Well the good news is that I'd only get on base 18 times. Simulating baserunning stats isn't exactly easy. Luckily, I noticed that players' sprint speeds are fairly strongly correlated with their BSR. When I put all the 2019 sprint speeds and BSR into excel, the conversion equation it gives me is (Sprint Speed x 0.0086-0.2348)=BSTimes on Base
Great. So now all there is to figure out is my sprint speed. I asked my wife to clock me running down the block at full speed, but she didn't seem so jazzed about the idea. Well if you want something done, you gotta do it yourself. Before I get into the numbers, bear in mind I was running down a 40 ft driveway with a flip phone in my hand, only gave myself about 5 feet to get to full speed, pressed the button at the starting point, probably started slowing down early, and then pressed it again at the ending point. Science.
I clocked myself at 2.08 seconds. I measured out the distance and it came out to 485 inches. Which is 233.2 in/sec. Convert that to feet, and I was running at 19.4 ft/sec. Which was below Brian McCann's 2019 league minimum speed of 22.2 ft/sec, but not so far off that it would make me think I did something wrong. Good enough for me. So if we plug my 19.4 ft/sec into the equation, we get -0.07 BSR per times on base. I expect to get on base 18 times, so it comes out to a -1.2 BSR for the season.
-155 runs.

Conclusion

Finally, the last step is to convert runs to wins. The 2019 Runs/Win number was 10.296. So if I divide -155 by 10.296 I end up with -15.1 WAR. Yikes. Let's put that in context. According to Fangraphs, I would cancel out any season of any great player if we were on the same team and then some. 1923 Ruth? Gone. 2002 Bonds? We would net -2.4 WAR. 2013 Trout? Not even close. If I were were to replace Edgar Martinez on the 2001 Mariners, the winningest team in modern history, they'd only win 96 games, but hey, we'd still make the playoffs! Same with the 1998 Yankees. And this is the conclusion we should come out with. I would not necessarily ruin the greatest teams of all time. So I deserve a shot.
TL;DR -15.1 WAR, but I deserve a shot.
submitted by slightlyaw_kward to baseball [link] [comments]

Better Know the Ones Left Off the Ballot #5: Delmon Young

Welcome to the second BKTOLOTB of the day! Here we take a look at the people who qualify for the Hall of Fame ballot (10 years of playing in the MLB) but were left off. We have four already out there, so you can check out Randy Choate, Kevin Gregg, Dan Uggla, or Josh Hamilton should you so choose. Now onto the second time today I trigger Rays fans' PTSD.

Delmon Young

Bill James Hall of Fame Monitor: 7 Career bWAR (10 years): 3.2 Stats: .283/.316/.421, 98 OPS+, 1162 H, 109 HR, 338 XBH, 566 RBI, 473 R League Leading Stats: Outs Made (492, 2007), Games Played (162, 2007), Double Plays Grounded Into (23, 2007), Errors Committed as LF 3x (8, 2008 | 5, 2009 | 7, 2011) Awards: 2012 ALCS MVP, AL Player of the Month (July 2010), AL Player of the Week (October 4th, 2009) Teams Played For: Devil Rays/Rays (2006-07, 2013), Twins (2008-11), Tigers (2011-12), Phillies (2013), Orioles (2014-15)
Here's an exercise for the reader: take a time machine back to the year 2005, and tell any baseball writer that in 15 years Delmon Young isn't on the Hall of Fame ballot. I'm now going to predict the replies you'll get. 70 percent will say "Well of course not, he's still playing. Probably close to 500 home runs by now if he hasn't passed it." 25 percent will say "Um, how do you know that? Do you have a time machine? And if so why are you using it to tell me about baseball?" The other 5 percent will say "Told you he was overhyped." In 2005, being a baseball writer and not having an opinion on Delmon Young was an incongruity. Nowadays I'd predict most baseball writers would just respond "Oh yeah, that guy. Oof." So obviously, something changed. And since he's not on the ballot I gotta find out what. By the way, did you ever notice that his first name has "Elmo" in it?
The year is 2003, and Dmitri Young is entering his seventh full season as a fine Major League player. At the same time, his younger brother with a less Russian first name is about to graduate high school. It is also safe to say that lil bro Delmon is one of the most talked about high school baseball outfielders, nay, players in the nation. To put into perspective just how good he was, the field where he played had to erect a 30-foot wall add-on to left field, which was already 400 feet deep, because he kept hitting balls over it and they were worried people would get hurt. Delmon was 13 when that wall went up. This man's prospect hype train had had stocks of coal for four years so by this point it was reaching breakneck speeds. It was a shock to none when he went first overall in the 2003 MLB Draft to the Tampa Bay Devil Rays. After his assignment to the Mesa Solar Sox as a 17-year-old went well enough, Young was promoted to single-A ball only half a year after he was legally allowed to vote. He was also Baseball America's 3rd best MLB prospect. At 18. The year after he was drafted. Against all odds that hype train is getting faster. How did Young do in 2004? Oh boy. He hit .322/.388/.538 with 25 home runs and 115 RBIs to tack onto 21 stolen bases and 276 total bases in 131 games in single-A. And he turned 19 that September. The hype train is nitro-fueled at this point. By the start of the 2005 season, if you didn't have Delmon Young in your top 5 baseball prospects, you just weren't worth listening to. I mean, look at those numbers. And he's 19! Where would he go from here? Well, double-A and triple-A. Why both? Because even as a 19-year-old Delmon Young was just too good. In mid-July, after 84 AA games where he hit .336/.386/.527 with 20 homers and 71 RBIs, plus 25 stolen bases for good measure, the Tampa Bay Devil Rays seemingly had no choice but to promote a 19-year-old to AAA. He'd lose a bit of luster there, batting .285/.303/.447 with just 6 dingers and 28 RBIs in 52 games, but he sure didn't lose the MVP award of the AA Southern League. The man turned 20 that September and had already won an MVP. Lord have mercy I think the hype train is leaving the ground and taking to the skies. By 2006, Delmon Young was the consensus number one prospect. Any suggestion otherwise was an invitation to ridicule. If he was anything less than a generational talent it would be a disappointment. And then, as seems to so often happen with Tampa Bay Devil Rays number 1 draft picks turned uber prospects, something went wrong.
Within the first month of his first AA game, after trying to be more patient at the plate, Delmon Young took a rather egregious third strike call. After an argument, Young headed to the dugout, whereupon the ump tossed him. Young responded in kind by tossing the only thing he could. Young would later say he didn't mean to throw the bat half as hard, and he for sure didn't intend for it to be in the ump's direction, let alone hitting him. Regardless, the league suspended him for 50 games, and a new narrative of a hotheaded immature prospect emerged. While he was limited to just 86 AAA games because of that incident, Young still did quite well for himself, slashing .316/.341/.474 with 59 RBIs and 22 swiped bags. Only 8 home runs, but when the rest of your batting line looks like that, dingers aren't a priority. The best news of the year, at least from Young's perspective, came near the end of August, when it was announced that Devil Rays leftfielder Jonny Gomes would undergo season-ending surgery. By the way Young was an outfielder. Pretty good one too, not sure if you've heard. And so, with a record of 52-79, Tampa Bay called up Delmon Young to fill in for the rest of the year. The hype train had finally arrived at the station, and at this point it had also gained the ability to travel through time. Would Young be able to live up to it?
Ten years to the day after his brother debuted, Delmon first time stepping into the MLB batter's box happened at U.S. Cellular Field to face the defending World Champion White Sox. The first pitch Young ever faced in a Major League game was a fastball from Freddy Garcia. And it drilled him in the back. Welcome to the Show buddy! His next at-bat ended with a strikeout, followed two innings later by his first big league hit: an over-400-foot home run. I somehow can't find video of this event, but I imagine all seventeen Devil Rays fans in attendance went crazy. Sure, his team ended up losing the game 9-12, but the hype train was finally shown to have been fully justified. As everyone knows, your first major league game is always a sign of things to come, just ask J.P. Arencibia. A little over a month later, the 2006 season was in the books, and Delmon Young had started all of Tampa Bay's remaining games. What did he have to show for it? A line of .317/.336/.476, 3 homers, 16 runs, and 10 RBIs. He assembled 0.9 bWAR in 30 games as a 20-year-old. If that doesn't say future star power I don't know what does.
Before the next season, Young spent his fourth straight year getting named one of the top 5 prospects in baseball again. He also spent his first year as part of a Major League club, and got named the starting right fielder for the Devil Rays that season. Delmon Young would go on to play in all 162 games, giving fans the chance to finally see the galactic proportions of potential fully realized. How'd it go? Erm, well, he did pretty good. Most commonly hitting in the 5 spot in the lineup, Young had 93 RBIs, the most among rookies in the AL that year. He did it with a hitting line of .288/.316/.408 with just 13 homers and an OPS+ of 91. By no means a bad line, but given where he came from it seems... lacking. What else didn't help was those 127 strikeouts to just 26 walks, and a league-leading 23 double plays grounded into. His 0.9 bWAR in his first 30 games was, in fact, tied in his next 162. He still received three first-place votes for AL Rookie of the Year, but given Dustin Pedroia's excellence at a much flashier position with comparatively better rate numbers, he didn't make it much of a contest. But you know what? That's not that bad. Delmon is still young. He has plenty of room to grow. After all, who absolutely dominates in their age 21 season in such a day and age? The future is looking real bright for Tampa. With promising young starters Scott Kazmir and James Shields, a solid hitter in Carlos Pena, and an outfield of Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton, and the future star player of the 2010s in Delmon Young, what couldn't they do? Well...
That offseason, the Devil Rays had a lot on their checklist. They had just finished their 10th straight 90-loss season in their 10-year existence, and needed to buck that trend somehow. While Shields and Kazmir were very good 1-2 starters to build around, the lowest ERA of any other member of the rotation was 5.76. J.P. Howell, Jae Weong Seo, and Casey Fossum all started 10 games apiece, and each ended the season with an ERA north of 7. So, uh, yeah, starting pitching. And who might have some expendable depth in that area? Why, the Minnesota Twins! What could Tampa Bay trade for that depth? Well, Minnesota had just lost a franchise cornerstone in centerfielder Torii Hunter, and needed extra outfield help. Considering Jonny Gomes was still on the team, and Minnesota wouldn't move on their price of the most promising prospect since Sidd Finch, The Devil Rays saw what they needed to do. Youngster SP Matt Garza became a Tampa Bay Ray (they changed their name because Devils aren't very nice), and Delmon Young became a Minnesota Twin. His position in the outfield swapped from right to left, and his hype train was still running hot. Then, in two years, it had all but come off the rails. By the end of 2009, Young had played in 260 regular season games as a Twin (three playoff games too but they were against the Yankees so kinda pointless to talk about). What did he have to show for it? How about hitting numbers like .288/.315/.413 with 22 home runs and an OPS+ of 97? Not what you wanted? Try 197 strikeouts and 36 double plays grounded into. Hmm? Now here's the bit you'll really love, what do you think of -3.0 dWAR? Geez, talk about a penny on the hype railroad tracks.
Pretty much the only redeeming grace about those two years is how they ended. Okay, yes, it was good that they ended, but how they ended was even better. The day is the first of October, Two Thousand Nine. The Minnesota Twins had just lost two of three in a four-game series versus division rival Detroit. This predicament left them three games back in the AL Central standings, with but four games to play. Luckily for them, Delmon Young wanted to go to the playoffs. The final four games would see Young, who was hitting .273/.296/.397 up to that point in the season, go 9-for-17 with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs to will his team to four straight victories. Young won his first (and last, spoilers) AL Player of the Week award for the power of will he had exerted. The Tigers, meanwhile, went 1-3, leading to a 1-game playoff. And what a playoff it was. 12 innings, both teams scoring in the 10th, and finally, right after Young had been intentionally walked to induce a force-out, Alexi Casilla sent centerfielder Carlos Gomez home with a single to right. Delmon Young would get to see October baseball. And then the Yankees swept the Twins and Young went 1-for-14 but he still got to see it. In the next few months, Delmon Young was staring down the reality that, after so much early promise, he was about to enter his age-24 season without ever having shown but flashes of the greatness he seemed destined for. It was time to see if this hype train would still run.
2010 would start inauspiciously for Young, as the end of April saw him sporting a modest .222/.291/.381. It appeared to be the start of another season of potential wasted. Then, on May 2nd, Young piled four hits and one home run onto the unsuspecting Cleveland Indians, raising his average by 50 points to .261, and adding .105 to his OPS from the month prior. That game served as a wake-up call of sorts, as his average and OPS would, respectively, never slip below .250 and .740 for the rest of the year. This included an incredible hot stretch encompassing the very end of May and the beginning of August where over a 61-game stretch, Young would get hits in all but 10 of them. That stretch saw him go 89-for-224 with 34 extra-base hits, 61 RBIs, and a final line of .365/.385/.590. In the month of July alone, his batting average rose by 39 points from .296 to .335. Guess that's what happens when you go 46-for-106 with 6 homers, 12 doubles, 30 RBIs, and hit .434/.455/.736. That right there got him the July AL Player of the Month award, because of course it did holy crap. Young's bat cooled off a great deal following that hot streak, as he didn't get a hit in 10 games in the month of August. However, the remnants of that hot streak had spread amongst his teammates. Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau clobbered baseballs in Young's stead. Jim Thome hit a team high 25 home runs. Jason Kubel drove in 92 runs. Even the pitching picked up, as Carl Pavano defied his 34 years and Francisco Liriano pitched the best he had since his rookie year. All this culminated in a 94-68 record for the Twins, and a playoff berth. Against the Yankees. While he went 4-for-12 in the ALDS, Young could only will his team so far. Despite a rather slow start and a rather uncomplimentary end, Young finished 10th in AL MVP voting. His fielding left a lot to be desired. His final line was .298/.333/.493, worse than many other people in the voting. But, during that all important middle-of-the-season stretch, Delmon Young performed. And hey, he was only 24! Maybe this was the spark he needed! What would 2011 bring? Oh, .265/.305/.357 by August? And no significant changes in the field? And only 4 home runs in 305 at-bats? And the Twins are 52-67 with more injuries than an active warzone? Dear dear dear. This hype trainwreck has become something I just can't look away from. Figuring they still had time to recoup some value for their faltering team, Young's uninspiring 2011 finished in a new home. Could the hype exploded-engine get a tune up at its next station?
The Detroit Tigers were in a predicament. Following an injury to their can't-miss prospect Brennan Boesch, they were without a dependable leftfielder. I know what all of you are wondering, and no, Andy Dirks didn't count. Thus, they felt a trade with their inter-divisional rivals would make sense. On August 15th, the Tigers traded prospect Cole Nelson and a player-to-be-named-later (Lester Oliveros) to the Minnesota Twins in exchange for Delmon Young. He made a big entrance by hitting a home run in his first at-bat (which was against the Twins, go figure), and did enough to endear himself to the fans. In 40 games as a Tiger in 2011, Young batted .274/.298/.458 with 8 dingers and 32 RBIs. Detroit, in gratitude, left him on the roster for the playoffs. Their first series was against Young's old friends the Yankees. However, this time, Young wasn't on the Twins anymore. And he was out for blood. If the LDS had an MVP award, Young would have definitely gotten it that year. 6-for-19 with 3 solo homers and 4 runs scored, including what ended up being the difference in the clinching game 5. Add it all up and his 1.170 OPS was the highest in the series among those who played all 5 games. Even though he hit 2 more solo dingers against Texas in the next round, the Rangers rode Nelson Cruz to a second straight World Series runner-up finish. After DH Victor Martinez tore his ACL in the offseason, the Tigers figured they had a serviceable replacement in Delmon Young, who started 119 games there. The only problem with that plan was that Young batted .267/.296/.411 with only 18 homers and 74 RBIs. Seems like the hype rolling-ball-of-flames has somehow gotten worse. And yet, because Miguel Cabrera and Austin Jackson were still in the field, Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander anchored the rotation, and Prince Fielder helped his new team immensely, the Tigers still finished atop the AL Central. At this point, it appeared a new narrative had emerged: playoff Delmon Young. With the exception of his first time around in 2009, he'd averaged over 7 total bases in all the October series he'd played in. That would come to an end in 2012's ALDS versus Oakland, though not for lack of trying as Young went 4-for-17 in the 5 game series. It appeared he was saving his true form for the next series. The ALCS saw Delmon Young go 6-for-17 with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs in a 4-game sweep of the Yankees. That more than made up for the LDS, and earned him Series MVP in the process. For the first time in his career, at the age of 27, Delmon Young was headed to the World Series. And boy did he show up to play. 5-for-14 with a double and a homer on the series sounds pretty good. Accounting for a quarter of his team's hits in the series as they get swept does not. As great as his playoff heroics were, the Tigers still remembered what he had done in the regular season, which was worth all of -0.9 bWAR. Largely due to that, they let him walk that winter. Delmon Young, conductor of what was now a hype charred-skeleton-of-a-train, just became a free agent for the first time in his professional career. How would this turn out?
Poorly. It turned out poorly. Young went all of December and most of January unemployed before signing an incentive-laden deal with the Phillies. His baseline salary was $750,000, but it could be as much as $3.5 million by the end of the year, including $600,000 for taking some weight off and keeping it off. It stayed where it was. He spent the first month of the season injured, batted .198 in the month of May, spent the next couple months hitting just well enough to make up for his poor fielding ability, and then went 4-for-39 in 12 games to end July and start August. By then, the Phillies had had enough, and DFA'd him to make room for hotshot Casper Wells. When Young refused to go back to the minors, the Phillies said "fine by us" and released him. This came less than a year after Young made $6.75 million, won ALCS MVP, and turned 27. But then again, .261/.302/.397 isn't very good if you're hired for your bat. Not a week later, his old friends the Tampa Bay now-heavenly Rays threw him a bone and signed him to a minor league deal. Apparently their minor league system was the only one he was willing to play in. Young gritted his teeth, and did well enough for the Rays to call him up in September. He'd do fine, going 16-for-62 with 3 home runs to close out the year, and hey the Rays made the postseason. Say hello to playoff Delmon! He hit a home run in the AL Wild Card game, and drove in 2 of the 12 runs Tampa Bay put up in the ALDS. Boston had that many in the first game, and only piled on more after that, so that was all she wrote for 2013's edition of playoff Delmon. And when all's said and done, .260/.307/.407 in the regular season is not good enough to get re-signed, so Young wound up a free agent yet again.
The Orioles signed him to another minor league deal, but because their system wasn't Tampa Bay's, Young had to earn a roster spot. After he did, 2014 would be Young's best season since 2010. .302/.337/.442 in 83 games as a DH/OF sub and pinch-hitter. And wouldn't you know it, the Orioles also made it to the postseason! Here comes playoff Delmon version 4.0! Unfortunately, this was an abridged version, as he would see only 4 plate appearances that series. Only got one hit, but it was a bases-clearing double in the bottom of the 8th and made a 6-4 Tigers score into 6-7 Orioles. So yeah that's pretty important. And looky there they swept their way to the ALCS! Sadly, that series would see the seeming demise of playoff Delmon. He stepped into the batter's box only five times, and just one of those resulted in a hit as the Royals swept the Orioles out of the playoffs. Since he was all right for them, Baltimore brought Young back on a $2.25 million contract to play right field. He'd thank them by putting up the best dWAR of his career because at this point sure whatever. Problem was, it was coupled with his career lows in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. By a lot. .270/.289/.339 is too low for a bat-first player. Thus in early July, the Orioles said goodbye to the 29-year-old responsible for the Delmon Young hype museum-exhibit-about-how-bad-trainwrecks-can-get. It would be the last time he'd play Major League Baseball.
However, Delmon Young wasn't done playing professional baseball. It's just he was done playing in the United States. Following his July dismissal from the Orioles, Young signed with the Toros Del Este of the Dominican Winter League, and held his own that season. After that, in 2017 he signed with the Melbourne Aces of the Australian Baseball League. He finished that 40-game season batting .280/.361/.511 with 13 homers, the most on the team. He then had quite a productive 2018, where he won the MVP in the Venezuelan Winter League after going .294/.341/.567 with 19 homers and 52 RBIs in 61 games. Tack that onto some other successful outings in the Mexican Leagues and Delmon Young finished 2018 with a combined 32 homers, 122 RBIs, and .309/.351/.544 slash in 131 games across three different leagues. And he still wasn't done! in 2019 he returned to the Melbourne Aces, and showed that, although his hype train was long gone, he still had what it took to run. Again in 40 games, Young finished the season with a .345/.394/.662 line, 13 homers which led the league, 42 RBIs which led the league, and a championship ring. Clearly, even though he turned 35 this year, Delmon Young still has plenty of baseball left in him. Could we eventually see his train get back on the rails? Only time will tell. Who knows, maybe I'll have to do another one of these on him. On second thought no he shouldn't come back.
The story of Delmon Young fascinates me. At no point in his years of building hype did it seem like he would be anything but a superstar. And yet, here we are so many years later, and at 35 years old, he's already been out of the league for five years. Plenty of prospects have crashed and burned before, none more well-remembered than first overall picks. David Clyde, Steven Chilcott, Mark Appel, Danny Goodwin, the list goes on. And yet, rarely do those that bust in such a fashion end up qualifying for a Hall of Fame ballot. It's very clear to me why Young was left off the ballot. But oh, what a sight it would be to see his name on there. Maybe instead of his name they'd just put a train exploding next to the checkbox. It'd be pretty clear who they were talking about.
For his 530 hits, 273 RBIs, and 2010 season, Young would visit the Hall of Fame in a Twins cap. Hopefully he doesn't travel there by train.
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Unusual Bowling Feats (Part Two)

Welcome to Part Two of my 'Unusual Bowling Feats' post! Link to Part One here.

Peaking Too Soon

Whenever cricket has a discussion regarding comparisons between different bowlers, some people always pipe up with 'yes, but if you take this bowler at their peak, then...', as if comparing Bowler X at their peak to the entire career of Bowler Y is remotely fair. All players have peaks; purple patches are not restricted to player who you happen to like. With all this nonsense about restricting stats to the last ten years, to the 1980s, to the period after reaching the age of 25, to after that one innings of 5/6 against the mighty Zimbabwe back in 1996, and even to the past year or two years (because that's a representative sample), there's nothing stopping me from looking at a bowler's first delivery and declaring that to be their 'peak'.
There have been 65 cases in which a bowler has taken a wicket off their first ball in a particular format: 20 in Tests, 26 in ODIs and 19 in T20Is. The first to accomplish such a feat was Australia's Tom Horan, who dismissed England's Walter Read in only the second ever Test in January 1883 with his first ball in international cricket. As with the unusual dismissals section of my previous post, I won't go through everyone, but I'll highlight some notable bowlers who went above and beyond when it comes to achieving unusual bowling feats.
Firstly, there are seven bowlers who can truly be said to have 'peaked too soon'. What do New Zealand's Dennis Smith and South Africa's Hardus Viljoen have in common? Both of them took their first wicket with their first ball in Tests...and both of them took their only wicket with their first ball in Tests. In fact, both of them were one-Test wonders, and in Smith's case, a one-innings wonder. At their peaks, they had a bowling average of 0 and a strike rate of 1, but alas, they both went through a decline as they ended up averaging 113 and 94 with the ball respectively. Just imagine how great they would have been had the rest of the careers not taken a nosedive after their excellent first deliveries. 😔
In ODIs, three bowlers took their only wicket with their first ball: India's Sadagoppan Ramesh, New Zealand's Andrew Mathieson and Zimbabwe's Ainsley Ndlovu. However, Ndlovu hasn't yet retired from what I can tell, so there's still time yet. Bangladesh's Taijul Islam and England's Lewis Gregory round off the list for T20Is, but both of them are still playing, so they also have time. These seven bowlers are nonetheless all united in the fact that if you take just their peak (i.e. their first delivery), they end up with better stats than Sydney Barnes, Glenn McGrath, Muttiah Muralitharan and Dale Steyn. This should solve those 'who is the GOAT bowler' debates once and for all.
There are other bowlers who I want to mention, however. In Tests, I've spoken about all the bowlers who I feel went above and beyond when it comes to unusual bowling feats, but in ODIs, there are two bowlers who I want to single out. The scorers among us will know that when it comes to bowling figures, no-balls and wides are added to the 'Runs' column but not to the 'Balls' column, as they don't count as legal deliveries in an over. Remember also that those 65 cases are of bowlers taking wickets off their first ball, not necessarily of bowlers taking wickets off their first delivery. A no-ball or a wide counts as a delivery but not a ball, as the latter term applies only to legal deliveries. Thus, if you count all the legal deliveries and throw out all the illegal deliveries (bowled by dead people), you'll find that I've bowled the most balls, BY A LOT!
Anyway, the first bowler I want to talk about is Sri Lanka's Charitha Buddhika Fernando. In a 2001 ODI against Zimbabwe, Buddhika bowled his first ever delivery in ODIs...and it was a no-ball. Bit of an anti-climax. He then got a second opportunity to make some magic happen...and it was another no-ball. Not the best start. However, third time's the charm, and Buddhika finally dismissed Dougie Marillier LBW. Thus, although Buddhika had technically taken a wicket with his first ball in ODIs, it was actually his third delivery.
Secondly, we have the West Indian allrounder Keemo Paul. Against Afghanistan in a World Cup qualifier in 2018, he was brought on to bowl in the second over of Afghanistan's innings. His first delivery was a wide outside off, so a bit of a nervy start. However, he then dismissed Javed Ahmadi LBW on his very next delivery, which was also technically his first ball in ODIs.
Now, some of you will complain that I'm strawmanning the argument a bit. Of course 'one-ball peaks' are ridiculous, but they're hardly comparable to periods of, say, ten years. I hear you, so why not double that timeframe and consider those bowlers who peaked with their first two balls? Oh, yeah, now things are getting spicy. Two bowlers have taken two wickets with their first two balls in an international format, and both of them did so in T20Is.
The first was Australia's Michael Kasprowicz. What's interesting about this one is that this happened in the very first T20I back in 2005 between Australia and New Zealand, back when the format was dismissed by many as a mere novelty. Kasprowicz bowled Stephen Fleming with his first ball, before then dismissing Mathew Sinclair (thanks to a catch from Simon Katich) for a golden duck (which also happened to be the first ever golden duck in a T20I). How fitting that the first ever instance in international cricket of a bowler taking two wickets from their first two balls would occur in the first ever T20I.
The second such instance occurred in a 2017 T20I between New Zealand and Bangladesh. Lockie Ferguson, who was on his debut, was brought on in the sixth over, and started by bowling a full toss outside off. Somehow, this resulted in a wicket, as the batsman, Sabbir Rahman, completely messed up the execution of what should have been an easy shot and ended up being caught. Ferguson's second delivery was much better: An outswinger that found the outside edge of Soumya Sarkar's bat and ended up in the hands of Corey Anderson at gully. Ferguson's third delivery was a yorker on off stump, but Mahmudullah somehow managed to keep it out, thus denying Ferguson a hat-trick from his first three balls in T20Is.
Both Kasprowicz and Ferguson, at their peak, had T20I bowling figures of 0.2-0-0-2, which gives us a bowling average of 0, an economy rate of 0 and a strike rate of 1 over the course of their first two balls. Unfortunately, no bowler has ever taken a hat-trick on their first three balls in an international format, or at least not yet. Similarly, as far as I can tell, no bowler has ever taken a wicket off their first ball in two different international formats, let alone in all three. These two feats have yet to be achieved; who will be the first?
There is one last bowler who I want to cover. Out of all the feats in this post, this one has to be my favourite just for its meme value alone. Remember when I mentioned that an illegal delivery did not count as a ball bowled? Some of you may be wondering if it's thus theoretically possible for a bowler to take a wicket without having bowled a ball at all. Let's consider the two situations in which a bowler delivers a ball without it actually counting as a ball.
The first such situation is a no-ball. Unfortunately for us, a no-ball precludes the possibility of a batsman being dismissed bowled, caught, stumped, LBW or hit wicket, which is a problem as those are the only forms of dismissal which are credited to the bowler. A batsman can still be dismissed run out, hit the ball twice or obstructing the field, but those aren't credited to the bowler. No luck here, then.
What about wides? Well, this is where things get interesting. As with a no-ball, a batsman cannot be dismissed bowled, caught or LBW off a wide. However, unlike a no-ball, a batsman can be dismissed stumped or hit wicket. I don't know the rationale behind this, but the implications are mouth-watering for anyone who is interested in unusual bowling feats. It is theoretically possible for a bowler to deliver a wide on their first delivery yet still dismiss a batsman stumped or hit wicket. The question is: Has this ever actually happened in international cricket? The answer? Yes, it has, on exactly one occasion.
It's the 31st of August 2011, and India is playing in a one-off T20I against England. This match is notable for marking the T20I debuts of Alex Hales, Jos Buttler, Rahul Dravid and Ajinkya Rahane. More notable for our purposes, however, is an incident which occurred in the eighth over of England's innings. Given a target of 166 to chase, England were cruising along at 60/2 after seven overs, requiring 106 runs from 78 balls to win. A task that is more than doable, I'm sure you can agree, especially considering that at that moment in time, Eoin Morgan and Kevin Pietersen (arguably England's two greatest ever T20I batsmen) were at the crease. MS Dhoni needed to conjure up a masterstroke to have any chance of beating England.
Thankfully, he had in his arsenal a truly special bowler. You see, batsmen are used to playing pace bowlers at various speeds, ranging from medium to fast, and they're also used to playing spinners, both finger-spinners and wrist-spinners, both left-handed and right-handed. However, the England batsmen were not prepared for MS Dhoni to make the 900IQ move of bringing on right-arm quickTM bowler Virat Kohli to break the partnership. As the very first right-arm quickTM bowler in the history of the sport, England were not prepared for the havoc which Kohli was about to unleash on their sorry excuse of a batting lineup.
Kevin Pietersen evidently underestimated Kohli, however, as he launched himself forwards, presumably wishing to slog him for six. The bad news for Kohli was that his first delivery in T20I cricket was a leg-side wide, so he ended up conceding a run from it. The good news was that Dhoni was ready to whip off the stumps before Pietersen could return to his crease in time, and thus the Virgin KP was outsmarted by the Chad Kohli. At that exact moment, since the wide was not a legal delivery, Kohli's bowling figures read 0-0-1-1. Many bowlers have taken wickets off their first balls in international cricket, but only the Chad Kohli could take a wicket off his zeroth ball in an international format. 🐐
England ended up winning that match by six wickets (though with only three balls remaining), but it's fair to say that Dhoni achieved the moral victory in that game. If dismissing one of the GOAT T20I batsmen off your zeroth ball is a chad move then bringing on that bowler when your team is struggling to take wickets is a gigachad move. Eoin Morgan would never.
Anyway, that's it for Part One. The post ended up being so long that I had to split it in two, which I wasn't expecting.

Why Bowl Many Deliveries When One Delivery Do Trick?

Some of the most bizarre and unusual bowling innings are those in which a bowler delivers just one ball and nothing else. The reasons for this can vary: Perhaps a bowler is injured after five deliveries and someone has to bowl the final delivery of an over; perhaps a bowler only makes it to one delivery before breaking down; perhaps a bowler takes the final wicket off their only delivery; perhaps a batsman scores the winning runs off a bowler's only delivery.
In any case, such an achievement is quite unusual, but not unique by any stretch. It has occurred 29 times in Tests, 56 times in ODIs and 18 times in T20Is. Generally speaking, what ends up happening is that the ball results in a dot or in a single; if a bowler is really unlucky, it'll end up as a boundary four. However, occasionally, something truly strange happens. For starters, let's deal with the two occasions on which a bowler has ended a Test innings with figures of 0.1-0-6-0.
The first instance occurred in a 1982 Test between Australia and Pakistan which took place in Karachi. The Test was marred by such incidents as a marquee being set alight and missiles and rocks being thrown onto the field as a result of political agitation; there was even a full-blown pitch invasion by the spectators at one point, driving Aussie captain Kim Hughes to remove his players from the field and even to consider cancelling the tour outright and to call for a ban on all international cricket in Pakistan (as if they'd ever actually ban international cricket in a country as crazy for the sport as Pakistan due to a violent incident).
Anyway, as far as the match itself, we actually witnessed an unusual batting feat, as opener Mohsin Khan was given out on 58 for handling the ball in Pakistan's first innings. Despite this, by the fourth innings, Pakistan had to chase down just 45 runs to beat Australia, and from Cricinfo's account, the pitch was pretty flat as well. Nonetheless, after eleven overs, with Pakistan requiring a boundary four to win, Kim Hughes decided to turn his arm around and see if his military mediums could do the trick. They couldn't; Mohsin Khan promptly finished it off in style, hitting Hughes' first (and only) ball of his spell for six.
The second instance occurred in Bangladesh's 50th Test match, which was against New Zealand in 2008. After Bangladesh collapsed to 137 all out in their first innings, New Zealand managed to score 357 in the second innings of the match. Matthew Bell scored 107(184) while Jacob Oram scored 117(166); the lack of quality in the Bangladeshi attack can be gleaned from the fact that this was the match in which Chris Martin famously made his Test high score of 12*. New Zealand ended up needing to chase just 35 runs in their second innings, which they succeeded in doing after Peter Fulton smacked Mohammad Ashraful for six off the all-rounder's first delivery in the innings. How did this humiliation occur?
Well, you see, the inside part of Oram's bat was made up of rubber and the outside part was covered by some wood, so all he had to do was touch the ball and it flew to the boundary; that's the secret why he was scoring runs. The ICC didn't check his bat because ICC=NZC=PIG3, so don't respect them. BD would still win, however, because their daddy Tamim made his debut, and they couldn't threaten him with a Super Smash contract to play badly like they did to Aftab Ahmed (seriously, though, Tamim Iqbal did very well, scoring 53 and 84 in his two debut innings and being involved in an opening partnership of 161, a record for Bangladeshi openers at the time, whereas Aftab Ahmed was dismissed for a pair).
On the other end of the spectrum, let's discuss the only instance in the history of Test cricket in which a bowler has finished an innings with figures of 0.1-0-0-1. It was 1912, and England were playing Australia in Melbourne. The Aussies were favourites for the clash, but a spectacular 5/44 from the great Sydney Barnes (at an economy rate of 1.91 as well; no other bowler who bowled an over or more had an economy rate below 2.20) resulted in them falling to 184 all out in their first innings. Despite England needing 219 runs to win in their final innings, a graceful 126*(206) from Jack Hobbs ensured a comfortable victory.
It is in the first innings to which we must look for this feat. Frank Woolley was a batting all-rounder whose first-class statistics would put Garry Sobers and Imran Khan to shame, and he holds the record for the second-most FC runs scored and the second-most FC matches played (behind only Hobbs and Wilfred Rhodes respectively). Unfortunately, while his batting in Tests was solid enough, he could never replicate his bowling form, and in this particular match, he wasn't given the ball until the 63rd over, by which time Australia were 184/9. He proceeded to bowl the tail-ender Bill Whitty, thus ending up with innings figures of 0.1-0-0-1.
Now, last time round, I made a glaring omission. I'd mentioned situations in which batsmen had finished on scores of 6(2), 6*(1) and even 6(1), but as a commenter pointed out, scores of 5*(1) and 5(1) are arguably even more impressive on the scale of unusual achievements. I'm not making the same mistake this time, so now I'll move on to the two occasions in the history of Test matches in which a bowler finished an innings with figures of 0.1-0-5-0.
The first occurred in a 1992 Test between England and Pakistan. The two sides were similar in many respects: both had recently been forced to move on from their star all-rounders (Ian Botham in England's case and Imran Khan in Pakistan's case); both had recently emerged from a World Cup Final (which Pakistan had won); and both had just dropped two promising young batsmen who were struggling to make the step-up to Test cricket (Graeme Hick in England's case and Inzamam-ul-Haq in Pakistan's case).
However, one metric on which the teams were clearly unequal was the bowling. The Pakistani bowling attack consisted of Wasim Akram and Waqar Younis, whereas England had Neil Mallender, Devon Malcolm and Chris Lewis. Slight mismatch there, methinks. Thanks to the two kings of swing (they both bowled so well with the old ball that the England coach, Micky Stewart, accused them of ball-tampering), Pakistan needed just two runs in their final innings to secure victory. A straightforward task, you'd think, but they were not prepared for England's secret weapon: Mark Ramprakash.
Unfortunately for Ramps, his first delivery was called a wide, meaning that the scores were already level. He knew, however, that the tie was still on so long as he took the next ten wickets without conceding any runs. The very next delivery was smacked by Aamer Sohail for four, meaning that Ramprakash ended up with innings figures of 0.1-0-5-0.
The second such occurrence was in a Test between England and South Africa in 1998. Alec Stewart won the toss and went 'we'll have a bowl, thanks', which seemed a masterstroke at first as Dominic Cork swiftly dismissed Bacher, Kirsten, Kallis (for a duck) and Cullinan, leaving the Saffers at 46/4. However, with Darren Gough injured, England lacked bite once Cork's spell was over, and South Africa would go on to produce a fifth-wicket stand of 184 runs (a record fifth-wicket stand for South Africa at the time). Specialist fielder Jonty Rhodes chipped in with a score of 117, and England collapsed to 110 all out in their first innings, which allowed South Africa to enforce the follow-on.
The result was that South Africa required 15 runs in their second innings to win. Angus Fraser conceded ten runs in his first over, and it was left to Dominic Cork (who had taken 6/119 in the first innings) to try to save the match. Cricinfo states that Cork conceded a boundary four and a no-ball (both were definitely separate as the two openers faced eight balls between them), but it doesn't give the order. Thus, I'm going to pretend that it was a four followed by a no-ball, as I love the mental image of a Test bowler conceding a no-ball when the scores are level. Like Ramprakash before him, Cork finished with innings figures of 0.1-0-5-0.
Right, time for ODIs! There have been seven different instances of bowlers finishing on 0.1-0-0-1, and I'm not going through all of them. Let me just say that the seven bowlers in question are Clive Lloyd, Martin van Jaarsveld, Dinesh Mongia, Tillakaratne Dilshan, Mohammad Yousuf (who I've already talked about), Sanath Jayasuriya and Kedar Jadhav. I checked all of them to try to spot anything unusual, but they were all situations in which the opponent was nine wickets down and the tenth wicket was taken on the first ball of the over, so there's nothing interesting to say about any of them. Let's move on to the two incidents in which a bowler finished on figures of 0.1-0-6-0.
First, let's look at a 2008 ODI between South Africa and Bangladesh. The Saffers were set a target of 174 runs (this was despite a record fifth-wicket partnership for Bangladesh of 119 runs between Shakib Al Hasan and Raqibul Hasan), so you'd think it'd be more than comfortable for them, especially with AB de Villiers in the middle order. However, it appears that the pitch was a bit of a minefield, as South Africa were still short of the target after 48 overs (albeit by just one run). Bangladesh decided to bowl Tamim Iqbal (who had never bowled a ball in his entire ODI career at that point), who was promptly smashed for six by AB.
For the second case, it's time to return to our old friend Cephas Zhuwao (the guy who averages 1.00 with the ball in T20Is). This ODI took place between Bangladesh and Zimbabwe in 2018, and Zimbabwe did decently well in their innings, scoring 246/7. However, Bangladesh were left requiring three runs from 36 balls, so Cephas Zhuwao was brought into the Zimbabwe attack (presumably due to his stellar T20I record). It didn't work, as Mohammad Mithun hit a long-hop for six.
I don't think figures of 0.1-6-0 would be regarded as too unusual in T20Is (it's happened three times if you're curious), so now it's time to consider the two occasions on which a bowler has taken a wicket in a T20I innings despite bowling just one ball. The first such situation happened in a 2012 T20I between England and South Africa. A rain-affected match saw the Saffers score 77/5 from nine overs, which England then had to chase down within their nine overs. However, after four overs, the rain started to pour down again, and since five overs is needed for a result, South Africa tried to continue bowling by bringing on Morne Morkel. England, for their part, required twelve runs for a victory (or thirteen if a wicket fell) thanks to the very simple and very intuitive Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method. Unfortunately, the match had to be abandoned as soon as Morkel took the wicket of Luke Wright on the first ball of the over as the rain just continued to drop. Morkel ended up with innings figures of 0.1-0-0-1.
The second instance is special for a particular reason: We've seen examples of a bowler finishing with figures of 0.1-0-0-1, but this is the one and only time in the history of international cricket that a bowler has ended with innings figures of 0.1-0-1-1. How is that even possible? Well, allow me to tell the story. Before I begin, have a guess at which bowler achieved this feat. I have to say personally that if Kohli's zeroth-ball wicket is my favourite story of the bunch, this is my second-favourite. Out of all the bowlers who have played international cricket, I find it fitting that this particular bowler is the only one to have achieved these unusual figures. In a way, they represent a perfect microcosm of his international career in a way that no other innings bowling figures do.
The year was 2009, and Australia was touring England and Scotland. After 20 overs, the Aussies had managed a total of 145/4, which was a pretty decent total for the time. However, England's innings was delayed due to rain, but the target remained 146 from 20 overs. England's two greatest all-rounders, Ravi Bopara and Joe Denly, opened that day (the latter making his T20I debut), but poor old Dendulkar was dismissed by Brett Lee in the first over for a golden duck. Then came the second over, with Bopara on strike. The person bowling? None other than Mitchell 'bowls to the left, bowls to the right' Johnson.
The very first delivery by Johnson was a wide. How typical. Of course, the partisan England crowd did not hesitate to jeer Johnson for this (this was before that infamous 2010-11 Ashes during which we first heard that chant). Much like in the Ashes, however, it was Mitch who got the last laugh, as he then dismissed Bopara on his very next delivery. Unfortunately, the match was then immediately abandoned due to rain, leaving Johnson as the only bowler in the history of international cricket to finish an innings with figures of 0.1-0-1-1. A wide followed by a wicket; I don't think any two deliveries have summed up a bowler's entire career like those two did.
Speaking of which, I'll briefly discuss entire careers rather than just individual innings. In ODIs, six bowlers have bowled just one ball in their entire career (though Australia's Wally Edwards holds the unique distinction of having his sole delivery be a dot ball, even though looking at the scorecard, I can't for the life of me figure out how), whereas in T20Is, four bowlers have achieved this feat. This has yet to be achieved in Tests, however. The next person to bowl their first ball in Test cricket should thus retire due to a "permanent injury" and go down in history as the only one-ball wonder in Tests.

Participation Trophies

So far, we've mostly been looking at bowlers taking wickets, as that tends to be the entire point of bowlers. However, for some bowlers, taking wickets is optional, and it's amazing how long some bowlers can keep on going without dismissing a single batsman. In a way, they ought to be praised for their perseverance, even if their bowling clearly isn't up to scratch.
Firstly, there are Test matches. West Indian all-rounder Denis Atkinson (who could apparently bowl both right-arm medium and right-arm offbreak) holds the record for the most balls bowled in a single Test innings without taking any wickets. The year was 1957 and the Windies were up against England in the first Test of a five-match series. Atkinson actually took 1/30 in his first innings, but it then unravelled in the second. This particular Test match was bizarre in so many ways.
Following the first two innings, England were behind by 288 runs and seemed to face certain defeat. However, a mammoth fourth-wicket partnership of 411 runs between Colin Cowdrey and the captain Peter May (which is still the highest ever partnership by England for any wicket) turned the match on its head, and England declared on 583/4. The partnership lasted for 8 hours 20 minutes, with May finishing on 285* after batting for nearly ten hours! Think the Buttler-Crawley partnership against Pakistan, but on steroids.
Having been set a target of 296 runs, the West Indies nearly conspired to lose the match, finishing on 72/7 (the world-class quartet of Garry Sobers, Everton Weekes, Frank Worrell and Clyde Walcott somehow made just 48 runs between them in that innings). I'm not sure many Test matches have had the momentum shift that drastically!
Anyway, as you can guess, it was during England's second innings in which this unusual record was broken. Poor Denis Atkinson bowled 72 overs, but spare a thought for his partner Sonny Ramadhin, who bowled 98 overs that innings and took two wickets (FYI, that's still the record for the most balls bowled in a single Test match innings, though that record, while frankly incredible, unfortunately isn't 'unusual' enough to make this list). If the name Sonny Ramadhin rings a bell then that might be because he was the same guy who bowled 72 overs in that Test match in 1950 when John Goddard bowled six maiden overs out of six while trying to prevent the draw; the poor guy just can't catch a break, can he?
Anyway, back to Atkinson. Unlike Ramadhin, he failed to take any wickets, but can you blame him? The West Indies didn't take the second new ball until 96 overs had passed, and they then proceeded to bowl 162 overs using the second new ball without ever taking the third, so that can't have helped. At least Atkinson's economy rate was a low 1.90, and he finished with innings figures of 72-29-137-0. Fantastic effort from him, it has to be said, as well as from Ramadhin (again).
It should be remembered that Denis Atkinson did in fact take a wicket in the first innings, so who holds the record for the most balls bowled in a single Test match without taking any wickets? For that, we have to go back even further to 1929 where we find an even more bizarre Test match between England and Australia. For one, this happened to be a timeless Test, and is still the longest Test match to be played on Australian soil, lasting nine days in total (though the third day was a rest day, so in actuality, there were only eight days of play).
Due to an injury to Herbert Sutcliffe, Douglas Jardine was forced to open alongside a 47-year-old Jack Hobbs. England's innings was very slow, with Jardine scoring 19(126), Wally Hammond scoring 38(100) and Ernest Tyldesley scoring 31(116). Nonetheless, it worked, as England scored 519 in their first innings, with Hobbs and Maurice Leyland scoring centuries (the former top-scored with 142 from 301 balls). England probably felt good about themselves, until it was Australia's turn to bat.
Somehow, Australia were even slower than England, scoring at a run-rate of just 1.81 RPO. Particular lowlights included Bill Woodfull's 102(381), Alan Kippax's 38(145), Jack Ryder's 30(125) and Alan Fairfax's 65(242). Even the tailenders got in on the (lack of) action, with Clarrie Grimmett and Percy Hornibrook putting on a partnership of 59 runs, with the former scoring 38(170) and the latter scoring 26(106). Only Don Bradman, with his comparatively swashbuckling 123(247), looked to be positive. Then again, perhaps this should just be expected with timeless Tests and zero pressure to get the match over with. I'm beginning to see why these aren't a thing anymore. I mean, it worked, I guess, as Australia scored 491.
Despite all this scoring, England only made 257 runs in their second innings (Jack Hobbs once again top-scored with 65 runs from 126 balls; how the heck he was playing this well in his late 40s, I have no idea), leaving Australia with a target of 286 runs and infinite time in which to achieve it. There was a chance for Bradman to be stumped while on 5*, but the opportunity was missed, and Australia ended up winning comfortably with a score of 287/5 (three of the five wickets were taken by Wally Hammond of all people, though that included the two openers who were essentially nightwatchmen anyway).
As I said, a bizarre match, but this is all tangential. England's Maurice Tate bowled 62 overs in Australia's first innings (which somehow was only the third-most) and 38 overs in the second innings, for a total of 100 overs throughout the match. In those 100 overs, he failed to take a single wicket. Let me be clear: That's 600 balls bowled without a single wicket being taken...in one match! He ended up with figures of 100-39-184-0 for the entire match, so he was pretty economical, though that might just have been the result of the Aussies batting quite defensively. An unusual feat for an unusual game.
Anyway, that's only two out of the three pieces of the puzzle. Who has bowled the most balls without taking a single wicket in their entire Test career? The answer to that is the Lancashire all-rounder Len Hopwood, who was given an England cap in 1934 following good performances with bat and ball. In his first Test against Australia, he scored just 2(4) in his only innings with the bat and failed to impress with the ball, ending up with match figures of 47-25-62-0. No matter; he can redeem himself in the next match.
Except he didn't. In the first innings, he scored 8(50), then was thrashed about in the second innings by Don Bradman, who ended up scoring 304(473). Say, this Bradman fellow seems like a decent batsman (he's still got nothing on Andy Ganteaume and Kurtis Patterson, though). To be fair to Hopwood, he scored 2*(39) in the third innings, but the match was drawn before he could kick on and score his century. He was subsequently dropped and never selected for England again following his poor performances. All in all, Len Hopwood bowled 462 balls in Test cricket without taking a single wicket, which is still the record by quite a distance.
I should note that right now, Bangladesh's Khaled Ahmed sits in third place, having bowled 360 balls in Test cricket so far without taking any wickets. Can he be the one to break Hopwood's record? It won't be easy: Even if he reaches the 463-ball mark without taking a wicket, any subsequent wickets will cause him to lose the record. Definitely one to keep an eye on, though (in all seriousness, I hope it clicks for him sooner rather than later; it can't feel good as a bowler to bowl that many deliveries and not have anything to show for it).
Now, when it comes to ODIs and T20Is, there is not much use looking at individual innings, as I don't think anyone would find it particularly unusual for a bowler to make it through their allotted overs without taking a single wicket. However, we can look at entire careers, which is precisely what I'm going to do.
For ODIs, the record belongs to Sri Lanka's Athula Samarasekera. Selected as an all-rounder, he bowled 56.2 overs (or 338 balls) of medium pace between 1983 and 1989 at an economy rate of 5.16; he never took any ODI wickets. He continued to play in the format until 1994, but never bowled again after 1989.
In T20Is, the record-holder is still playing: Behold, 41-year-old fast-medium bowler Anasim Khan from Bahrain! Not only has he bowled 25 overs (or 150 balls) in T20Is without taking any wickets, but he's done so at an economy rate of 8.84. Beyond that, not much is known about him, which tends to be the case with these smaller associate members. On another note, much like with the batting feats post, minnows have began to pop up when it comes to T20Is, as was to be expected when every associate nation received T20I status. Opening up T20Is has had the side effect of increasing the likelihood of these unusual occurrences, so props to the ICC for that.

That's it for Part Two. Now for Part Three!
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Better Know the Ballot, Se4 Ep2: Micheal Cuddyer

This year’s Hall of Fame ballot includes 11 first time players. None of them are first ballot locks and some of them are guaranteed to fall off the ballot after one year of eligibility. So once again, we’re taking a look at all the ballot rookies, starting from the bottom. This is episode two, so it’s time for…
Michael Cuddyer
Bill James Hall of Fame Monitor: 26
Career bWAR (14 years): 17.7
Stats: .277/.344/.461, 333 doubles, 197 HR, 809 R, 794 RBI, 113 OPS+
Awards: All Star x2 (2011, AL; 2013, NL), Silver Slugger (2013, NL, OF)
League Leading Stats: 2013 Batting Champ
Teams Played For: Twins (2001-2011), Rockies (2012-14), Mets (2015)
Through the late ‘90s and early ‘00s, I was really into the Baseball Mogul series of baseball sims. It was the closest thing I could find at the time to recreating the Strat-o-matic experience on a computer and I loved it. In one simulation, I found this kid. Alex Straton was his name. Pitcher. Lefty. I plucked him out of the late rounds of the draft, moved him straight to the bigs from AA. He went on to win 316 games for the Cubs, struck out over 4,000 batters. Sometimes I still wish I could put Alex Straton on my resume. Anyway, the 2002 edition of Baseball Mogul just LOVED the idea of Michael Cuddyer for some reason. Simulation after simulation, there he was. Multiple MVPs, perennial All Star, homers in bunches. No matter how many times I reset the simulation, Cuddyer could be counted on for at least one 60 homer season in his career. Baseball Mogul was utterly convinced that Cuddyer was the next Mickey Mantle.
Michael Cuddyer was not the next Mickey Mantle. He was more along the lines of a slightly beefier Mickey Morandini. Which is not to say that Twins fans had much of a reason to be disappointed by Cuddyer’s career; at least not the ones who never played Baseball Mogul 2002.
Though he broke into the bigs at the age of 22, Cuddyer didn’t play in 100 games until his age 25 season. It would take him two more seasons before he’d get 500 plate appearances. But once he became a regular, he settled into a seven year stretch (2006-2013) of solid if unspectacular production that resulted in a .281/.349/.470 slash, 145 HR, 243 2B, 613 RBI and a 117 OPS+. He also made two All Star teams in that time and had a couple of production spikes that saw him crank a career high 32 homers in ’09 and then sell his soul to Tony Gwynn so that he could hit .331 and steal 10 bases as a 34 year old.
At first blush, it can be easy to say that Cuddyer was one of those guys whose overall value with a bat was hurt by his defensive metrics. To an extent, this is true: wherever he managed to play, Cuddyer was an indifferent fielder at best and an outright bad one at worst. He was, technically speaking, nimble enough to play all four infield spots. In the minors he was primarily a third/second baseman, but he was 6’2, 220 lbs and moved with all the grace of a dancing bear. Still, he was athletically gifted enough to be able to play six different positions in the majors (seven, if you count his one inning of no run, two hit, one walk relief pitching), including three of the four infield positions.
And yes, his inability to field any position with grace absolutely hurt his overall production. BBref has Cuddyer being worth -15 dWAR, while Fangraphs gives him a -39.3 UZR and -53.9 RngR. It’s like he was trying to win a Gold Glove with an actual gold glove.
If Cuddyer could have spent all of his time as a DH, he might have had a slightly more “valuable” career; he was a 27 oWAR player over his career. But the ‘00s Twins didn’t have that luxury, especially after guys like Corey Koskie and Jacque Jones left town. What were the 2006 Twins going to do, if not give a glove to Cuddyer? Turn to 900-year-old Rondell White? Expect Phil Nevin or snicker Ruben Sierra to remember the movements required to get their arms over their heads?
So Cuddyer did the best he could, and had all but one of his best seasons in Minnesota as a result. In the 2011 offseason the Twins kind of made a half-hearted “no, don’t go” gesture at Cuddyer’s back as they were showing him the door, but they did it while cuddling on the couch with Josh Willingham, so nobody really took them seriously. Cuddyer would instead sign a three year, $31 million deal with the Rockies.
While he was mostly forgettable in two and a half seasons there, Willingham actually turned out a very productive 2012 for the Twins, hitting .260 with 35 homers and 110 RBI, en route to a 143 OPS+ 3.3 WAR (turns out, he was no better a fielder than Cuddyer. The Twins definitely had a type.)
Cuddyer, meanwhile, just kind of kept being Micheal Cuddyer. He hit .260, he played the outfield with all the panache and sizzle of a bored housewife on “begrudging handjob” night, and he earned his paycheck in seemingly the only way he knew how.
But then, on some cold, January night in 2013, David Bowie’s astral projection hovered above a sleeping Michael Cuddyer’s bed and whispered: “we can be heroes.”
Cuddyer took that vision to heart and proceeded to spank every pitch he saw like it was your girlfriend after four tequila shots. .331/.389/.530 slash, all career highs. 136 OPS+, career high. 31 doubles, 20 homers, 84 RBI, his second All Star appearance, his only Silver Slugger, MVP votes and one of the more improbable batting titles in recent memory.
And that, the baseball Gods decided, was that.
Cuddyer would actually go on to best his 2013 average the next season, hitting .332, but that was over just 49 games so it was less impressive. Hid did, however manage to hit for the cycle in 2014, which made him just the third player in MLB history to nab a cycle in both leagues.
But his body was done. Cuddyer was not yet consciously aware that his career was over, so he kept looking for work after his Rockies contract expired. But his subconscious was clearly in the know, because it made him sign with the Mets. The Kings of Queens gave Cuddyer his first taste of the World Series, but even that wasn’t enough to offset the fact that he was playing for the Mets, and Cuddyer called it a career the following winter.
Michael Brent Cuddyer toiled for 15 seasons in the majors, the vast majority with the Minnesota Twins. Despite his World Series appearance and batting title with other teams, he goes into the Hypothetical Hall with the Twins logo on his cap, honoring his .272/.343/.451 slash with the club. He was also inducted into the Twins Hall of Fame, no doubt in honor of his place in the Twins record books, which includes 10th all time in strikeouts (805) and 9th in GIDP (140).
Chances of making the Hall: Worse than the Twins chances of moving back into the Humphrey Dome.
Chances of leaving the ballot this year: 100%
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Wrestling Observer Rewind ★ Dec. 16, 2002

Going through old issues of the Wrestling Observer Newsletter and posting highlights in my own words. For anyone interested, I highly recommend signing up for the actual site at f4wonline and checking out the full archives.
PREVIOUSLY:
1-7-2002 1-14-2002 1-21-2002 1-28-2002
2-4-2002 2-11-2002 2-18-2002 2-25-2002
3-4-2002 3-11-2002 3-18-2002 3-25-2002
4-1-2002 4-8-2002 4-15-2002 4-22-2002
4-29-2002 5-6-2002 5-13-2002 5-20-2002
5-27-2002 6-3-2002 6-10-2002 6-17-2002
6-24-2002 7-1-2002 7-8-2002 7-15-2002
7-22-2002 7-29-2002 8-5-2002 8-12-2002
8-26-2002 9-2-2002 9-9-2002 9-16-2002
9-23-2002 9-30-2002 10-07-2002 10-14-2002
10-21-2002 10-28-2002 11-4-2002 11-11-2002
11-18-2002 11-25-2002 12-2-2002 12-9-2002

PROGRAMMING NOTES: 3 things...

#1 - This will be the last Rewind of 2020. I'm in the process of moving over the next couple of weeks so the Rewind will return on Jan. 6th. And then it'll be done on the 13th, because there's only 2 Rewinds left...

#2 - Thanks to everybody who nominated me and/or the Rewind for the Wreddit Awards. I <3 y'all.

#3 - Wanted to offer my condolences to Dave and his family on the loss of his mother. I lost my own mom when I was young so I always have something of an extra dash of sympathy for people who lose their mothers, no matter how late in life. Rest in peace Mama Meltzer.

Okay, on with the show!

  • This week, we get the full super-length obituary for Mr. Wrestling, who passed away last week. Apparently last week's obit wasn't enough, so this week Dave drops another 7,000+ word history of his life and career, along with a complete list of all his titles and accomplishments. Those of you familiar with the Observer will know that the obituary pieces are always a highlight. Dave is a historian at heart and at his best when he's diving deep into into history of wrestling. He's got multiple books compiling these obituaries and they're excellent. But we also covered most of this last week and I'm struggling to get these Rewinds finished as it is. That being said, this is a magnificent read and I highly recommend it if you're interested and have an Observer subscription.
  • It has been widely reported in Japanese media that K-1 promoter Kazuyoshi Ishii is expected to be arrested soon on tax evasion charges, allegedly owing the government $1.7 million in back taxes. The rumors have been circulating for awhile, but K-1 had their big Grand Prix Finals show at the Tokyo Dome, which drew a massive sellout crowd and word is the government was holding off on the arrest, and the media was holding off on the story, because they didn't want to hurt the show, because it was expected to bring in a lot of tax revenue for the city of Tokyo. So it was kept quiet until after the show, but the day after it took place, the story blew up everywhere. This isn't unusual, as Japanese media is notorious for trying to protect big events such as this, whereas in the U.S., it would be a different matter and everyone would be racing to see who could break the story first. Just another difference in cultures. The claim is that Ishii brought in around $6 million in income that he never reported between 1997 and 2000 and, therefore, never paid taxes on. For his part, Ishii naturally denies the allegations and claims much of that was spent on bringing in foreign talent for shows and that the government is failing to take that into account. Ishii is basically the Vince McMahon of Japan. He not only runs K-1, but he has several huge stars (most notably right now being Bob Sapp) under exclusive contract and as a promoter, loans Sapp out to PRIDE, NJPW, AJPW, and others, turning him into Japan's biggest sports star. Basically, all these other companies can run their mid-range shows, but any show in Japan that has filled up a stadium in the last couple of years, Ishii was usually the one behind it. Ishii has also been responsible for bringing in Bill Goldberg and others for big shows (since we won't get to find out how this story plays out before the end of 2002: Ishii does indeed get charged with tax evasion. In 2004, he was convicted and sentenced to 22 months in prison. But he stayed out on bail and spent 3 years appealing his sentence to no avail. In 2007, he finally went to prison and served a little over 1 year before being released in 2008).
  • Speaking of the K-1 Grand Prix, Bob Sapp once again faced arguably the greatest kickboxer who ever lived, Ernesto Hoost, and for the second time, Sapp defeated him by referee stoppage in a wild, incredible brawl. Sapp absorbed an insane amount of punishment, from brutal leg kicks and multiple head punches but he kept going. Sapp, not exactly the best striker in the world, was swinging wild haymakers that mostly missed, but when they connected, boy did they. When the ref stopped it, Hoost was furious, and some felt the referee stopped it too soon to protect Sapp, who is the big star. And they may be right because Sapp was completely gassed and looked like a desperate man out there. He showed little defensive skill and doesn't have much in the way of technique. But the facts can't be denied: no matter how sloppy and unpolished he is, Sapp has now beaten the greatest heavyweight kickboxer of all time...twice. But Sapp was injured in the fight (broken hand) and had to pull out of the rest of the tournament, so even though he lost, Hoost was allowed to replace Sapp in the next round and move on. And Hoost went on to win the whole tournament, defeating Jerome LeBanner in the finals and claiming the $400,000 bonus. That sure seems kinda unfair. Anyway, the Grand Prix show ended up being the most successful wrestling/MMA show in Japan since the 1976 Inoki vs. Muhammad Ali fight. It was viewed by approximately 47 million people on TV. Everyone went in expecting Hoost to avenge his prior loss to Sapp, and that's what drew the crowd, but nope. And the result is that Sapp came out an even bigger star than he already was and Hoost still won the biggest tournament in K-1 history which seems to set up an obvious 3rd fight. The injury to Sapp wreaks havoc on Antonio Inoki's plans however. Sapp was scheduled to face NJPW wrestler Tadao Yasuda in an MMA fight at Inoki's New Year's Eve show in a couple of weeks, and because he's Bob Sapp, that was naturally the big draw for the show. But that's likely off the table now (nope, Sapp still fought him and still won). Sapp was also booked to work NJPW's Jan. 4th Tokyo Dome show next month, no word on how this may affect his ability to do a pro wrestling match (he doesn't end up doing that show, go figure). Anyway, here's the Sapp/Hoost fight and yeah, it's freakin' wild. The rise of Bob Sapp is probably the most interesting story of 2002 to me.
WATCH: Bob Sapp vs. Ernesto Hoost II - 2002 K-1 Grand Prix
  • One of Japanese wrestling's longest traditions, the end-of-year tag team tournaments in both AJPW and NJPW, were complete bombs this year. AJPW's Real World Tag League tournament dates back to 1977 and has always been their premiere tournament. This year, it was won by Satoshi Kojima and Taiyo Kea, even though Kea went into the final match with a torn ACL and he didn't do much. He will be having surgery this week that's expected to keep him out 6 months or more, meaning they'll have to vacate the tag titles they just won. The final show, usually a guaranteed sell-out, drew a paltry 6,500 fans to Budokan Hall, the smallest crowd AJPW has drawn to that arena in the 30 year history of the company. Muto's recent changes to AJPW seem to be trying to modernize the company in American-style, with big video screens and pyro and all that gaga, and AJPW fans don't seem to be into it one bit. During the whole tour, which drew poorly for every show, people were making comparisons to the dying days of WCW. As for NJPW, they changed the tag tournament this year to a weird trios triathlon format that confused fans and didn't sell out a single show for the entire tour and the finals only drew 3,800. Needless to say, dark days for both AJPW and NJPW right now in 2002.
  • At a recent CMLL show at Arena Mexico, there was an incident with Negro Casas punching announcer Leobardo Magadan and breaking his nose. While this might sound like an angle, word is it was legit and that there are expected to be lawsuits filed and legal consequences. Casas was legitimately suspended by the commission and the TV network that Magadan works for has threatened to sue CMLL over the incident. Magadan and Casas have spoken on the phone since and Casas reportedly apologized. There has been bad blood between them for awhile and apparently Magadan said the wrong thing while Casas was in the wrong mood and got a punch to the face (I researched this and it apparently was real. Magadan not only had a broken nose but a detached retina. No idea how the legal stuff worked out or how much trouble Casas got into though).
  • NJPW is holding a press conference next month for some shows and, for some reason, Steven Seagal is expected to appear. Yes, that Steven Seagal. Which gives me an excuse to post this:
WATCH: Tom Segura - Steven Seagal
  • All Japan Women, the 3rd oldest promotion in the world (behind CMLL and WWE) is doing a 35th anniversary show (they didn't make it much longer. AJW ends up shutting down in 2005 after 37 years. At the time, it was the oldest wrestling promotion in Japan. Of course, since then, both NJPW and AJPW have surpassed it).
  • XPW signed an exclusive 3-year lease on the old ECW Arena in Philadelphia that will last through the end of 2006, with an option to extend it another 2 years to 2008 at the end of that term. This effectively prevents CZW, 3PW, or any other promotions from running shows there. However, if XPW goes out of business, loses their athletic commission license, or stops regularly running shows there, the lease could be terminated early by the venue. Word is XPW is paying $8,000-per-month for the rights. They plan to renovate the arena and add an entrance ramp and make some other changes (yeah this doesn't last long. By February, XPW starts missing payments and the lease is revoked).
  • WWA's latest PPV in Glasgow, Scotland saw Lex Luger defeat Sting to win the WWA title in a short, terrible match that was basically botched from start to finish. Jeff Jarrett interfered, hitting Sting with a guitar but the guitar barely broke. Earlier in the match, the referee botched a pinfall also. The ref knew Luger was winning and he didn't see Sting kick out of a pin, so he thought that was the finish and counted 3 and called for the bell. It led to some confusion and they ended up restarting the match. A second guitar shot to Sting a few minutes later finally broke the guitar. Elsewhere on the show, Jeff Jarrett beat Nathan Jones, also with a guitar shot, to retain the NWA title. A Sabu/Perry Saturn/Simon Diamond match saw two cheap ass tables break before they were supposed to, visibly pissing off Sabu. This show was taped and won't air live, so they may be able to edit a lot of the fuck-ups from the show, but word is Luger looked awful and is pretty much hopeless no matter how much editing they do. And Nathan Jones is incredibly green and just as hopeless. Buff Bagwell was also on the tour and, in case you're wondering what he's up to, apparently he caused such a disturbance on the flight overseas that police were called and detained him after he landed in England but was eventually released.
WATCH: Sting vs. Lex Luger - WWA 2002
  • Ring of Honor ran another show in Philadelphia that drew kinda poorly compared to previous ROH shows in the area. It was also kind of a lackluster show. Colt Cabana defeated CM Punk in a match that was the ROH debut for both men. Matches with AJ Styles, Bryan Danielson, Paul London, and others were all decent, but nothing special. Main event featured the ROH debut of Abdullah The Butcher teaming with Homicide in a bloodbath against Carnage Crew.
  • Dave also notes that ROH parent company RF Video recently settled a lawsuit with PRIDE. Apparently RF Video had been selling bootleg tapes of PRIDE and AJPW shows. If you recall, earlier this year, tax-dodger Kazoyoshi Ishii secured the exclusive rights to sell and market PRIDE and AJPW videos in the United States and they apparently went after RF Video for doing it illegally. Settlement is confidential, but RF Video reportedly had to pay a good bit of money. A magazine in Japan reported that the settlement was for $2 million per year for the next 5 years, but needless to say, that's ridiculous to the point that it can't even possibly be believed.
  • The latest TNA PPV saw an allegedly "unscripted" incident between Vince Russo and Roddy Piper. Sigh. Piper showed up at the show and cut a promo and accused Russo of being responsible for killing Owen Hart, among other things. Piper's appearance was a surprise so he could get a big surprise pop. So TNA could have advertised him and probably gotten some much-needed money and PPV buys, but nope. Russo later cut another promo, trashing Piper for using Owen's death to push his book. Where the shoot/work aspect of this begins and ends is unknown. Despite claims to the contrary, a couple of people definitely knew Piper was there and that he was going to cut a promo on Russo, although most of the locker room and even the announcers didn't. As for the back and forth about Owen, no one seems to know if that was truly Piper's own feelings or if it was scripted, but considering it's Russo, people are obviously suspicious. Word is this was just a one-time appearance for Piper to promote his book, which makes it even more stupid if he's not coming back and this isn't going anywhere. A lot of viewers have been going online and making it known how tasteless they felt it was for TNA to use Owen Hart's death as part of a storyline. But it wouldn't be the first time. Back when WCW was still alive and they were doing a show at Kemper Arena, Russo pitched an idea to show Bret Hart walking around in the rafters. Needless to say, that did not happen and Hart didn't even appear on the show, but Russo wanted to do it (okay, the WCW idea is appalling, but in Russo's defense—and man, I hate defending Vince Russo—I believe it's come out over the years that the TNA/Piper segment really was Piper going into business for himself and wasn't just another dumb Russo angle. It was just Piper shooting on someone he didn't like and trying to sell books).
WATCH: Roddy Piper shoots on Vince Russo - TNA 2002
  • TNA is talking of taking their show on the road next year and running a few of their weekly PPVs from places outside of their Nashville arena. Dave thinks this is a pretty bad idea. It's expensive and they're already struggling just to sell a few hundred tickets in their home base and most of the shows are heavily papered (for once, TNA was smart here. They stuck with Nashville until 2004, at which point they moved to Orlando for Impact. They didn't actually start going "on the road" until 2006.
  • Paul Bearer, using his old pre-WWE name Percy Pringle, also debuted on the TNA show. The plan is for him to be a manager, likely for Malice (Abyss The Wall). But Dave thinks that will just make Malice look like a low-rent Undertaker (I don't think he ever really managed anybody or did much of anything aside from a few appearances).
WATCH: Percy Pringle debuts in TNA - 2002
  • BG James (Road Dogg) apologized to the TNA staff at a production meeting this week over his use of the word "f*ggot" on TV last week. But he never apologized publicly and TNA never made any kind of statement on it. It was just James apologizing to management backstage and nothing more.
  • WWE is pushing hard to bring in Goldberg for Wrestlemania, and they've made a strong enough pitch that Goldberg is said to be seriously considering it. Dave thinks it's kinda dumb that WWE waited until 2 years after WCW folded, after all the "Goldberg" chants have stopped, and most American fans have kinda forgotten about him. And suddenly, now they get serious about bringing him in, because they clearly need him more than he needs them. Dave says if they had just bitten the bullet and spent the money to bring in Goldberg from day 1 of the Invasion, he would have paid for himself and then some with PPV matches against Austin and Rock and the Invasion might not have been a flop and maybe business wouldn't be collapsing. Probably still would have been though because it was more than one dumb decision that has gotten them to this point. Anyway, Goldberg still doesn't want to work a full schedule, so the discussions right now seem to hinge on bringing him in for a one-off match at Wrestlemania (and one would presume that would be against Austin, unless WWE just hates money or something). But of course, if that match happens, you have to talk one of them (almost certainly Goldberg) into doing the job and then that'll be a whole other argument.
  • Shawn Michaels is planning to work some Raw house shows soon, since he's the champion now. Whether or not his back can hold up to it is the big question, but word is he wants to work more matches and give it a shot. He's defending the title against Triple H in a 3 Stages of Hell match at the PPV.
  • Notes from Raw: Batista beat RVD in a 2 minute match by DQ that the crowd was dead for and Dave is amazed that they managed to kill RVD off this fast. That Triple H feud did him no favors at all. Ric Flair, who has been pitching to cut a promo on Shawn Michaels for weeks, finally got the chance and delivered a classic Flair promo that did more in 10 minutes to get Michaels over with fans who may not remember him than WWE has done in months. It was the best promo on Raw in ages and by far the highlight of the show. Randy Orton's RNN segments continue to be great. And everything else was varying degrees of average, boring, forgettable, or bad. Nothing much to note here.
  • Notes from Smackdown: main event of the show was 4.5 star match with Angle/Benoit/Edge/Eddie Guerrero in a 4-way that went for the last half hour of the show. Can't hate on that. Edge was tremendous in his selling and his comebacks and Kurt Angle proved why he's probably the best wrestler in the world today. Just excellent. Lesnar got exposed in a promo, showing he's still not ready to hold up his end of mic work (yeah, he's never been great at that). And of course, the show ended with Torrie Wilson going to Dawn Marie's hotel room and seemingly gave in to Dawn's lesbian advances in order to prevent her from marrying her dad. But of course, the show went off the air with that being left vague so you don't know what actually happened. This wasn't WWE's idea. They filmed 2 different versions of this, both of which went further than UPN was comfortable with and they ended up editing the hell out of it so what you saw on TV was a very tamed down, edited version of what was filmed. The "uncensored" version is expected to air on the PPV.
  • Godfather was released by WWE this week. His contract was set to expire in a few weeks anyway and wasn't being renewed, so WWE decided to cut him early, but still paid him his last few weeks. After he was released, they tried to talk him into coming back for one final appearance, in which he would participate in an angle where Scott Steiner beat him up. Realizing that it was their way of burying his character on the way out the door, Godfather tried to hold them up for extra perks, requesting first class airfare and a limo. WWE balked at that so it didn't end up happening. Dave figures TNA will grab him ASAP (surprisingly, no. I can't believe Russo didn't jump at the chance to do his version of the pimp gimmick without Vince McMahon limitations). Ron Simmons' contract is also expiring soon and isn't being renewed, though there's talk of hiring him as an agent.
  • Jeff Hardy and Justin Credible have both been suspended for repeatedly showing up late to events. Of course, Hardy in particular is still a star, so he's only been suspended from house shows, they're still using him on TV. Which is probably perfectly fine with Jeff anyway since his heart clearly hasn't been in it for a long time. Jamal of 3 Minute Warning has also been taken off TV for now, reportedly due to some legal issues but Dave doesn't know the details.
  • Rey Mysterio is out getting arthroscopic knee surgery. There was some drama backstage over who should be the one to "injure" him on TV to write him off. The original plan was for Benoit to be the one, leading to Mysterio returning at the Rumble to get revenge. Then it was changed to be Matt Hardy and that was the plan, which would have roped him into the top of the Smackdown card along with guys like Benoit, Angle, Eddie, etc. (basically, this would have created the Smackdown Seven). But then Vince swooped in and decided.....Albert! This was pretty controversial, since most people see Albert as a big, boring guy with no charisma who has been rotting away on Velocity for months who was only given the nod because business is down and when business is down, Vince goes with big guys. When Matt Hardy found out that his big break got taken away from him in favor of Albert, he was so pissed that some people thought he was going to walk out of the TV tapings. Hardy even went on his website and wrote a blog post vaguely addressing it and his unhappiness over it. Michael Hayes was able to talk Hardy off the ledge and keep him from walking out. Several other wrestlers went to Vince and tried to go to bat for Hardy, most vocally Edge and Rikishi, who argued that Hardy had earned the spot. But Vince stuck to his guns, and Albert ended up "injuring" Rey to write him off TV.
  • Remember a couple of weeks ago when WWE put out a press release personally attacking the World Wildlife Fund's lawyer? Well, the lawyer is said to be looking into filing a defamation lawsuit against WWE over what they said about him (much of which, indeed, was outright false or, at the very least, purposefully misleading). Considering WWE has already gotten their asses handed to them at every turn in this legal battle, to the point where even the judges in the case seemed irritated at them, to put out that release seems like the height of arrogance. There's now concern within the company that a defamation lawsuit, if filed, could end up being costly because, much like the original lawsuit, this is pretty cut and dry and WWE is obviously in the wrong here (I'm not sure how this ever turned out).
  • On Tough Enough, one of the contestants (Jonah) faked a neck injury as a "rib" and the coaches (Bill Demott, Al Snow, and Ivory) all laughed it up like it was hilarious. Lance Storm went on his website and posted about it, saying if there's one thing you don't joke about in this business, it's injuries. He said he can't imagine how the other wrestler who thought he had seriously hurt Jonah must have felt and said he didn't understand why the coaches acted like it was so funny. Storm said not only himself, but most of the WWE locker room were offended and didn't find it funny. "How do you think a guy like Darren Drozdov would feel watching this show, making a joke out of a supposed neck injury?" he wrote.
  • Paul Bearer did an interview recently talking about his leaving WWE and his wife's battle with cancer. He didn't have a lot of nice things to say. "They were not as understanding as you might have been led to believe. I only received two calls from anyone in the WWE management the entire time my wife was fighting cancer. Both calls were made by Stephanie McMahon. I only received a handful of calls from my so-called 'friends.' Undertaker may have called twice, and that was after I told the world he never called. It’s out of sight, out of mind in 'rasslin. As far as payroll is concerned, you must understand I was under a guaranteed money contract. They had to pay me. It certainly wasn’t a favor by any means. I didn’t have insurance. Dianna’s treatments cost close to $100,000. That cleaned me out. Did anybody offer any assistance? Please. All that glitters is not gold, friends." Dave notes that Paul Bearer and Undertaker had a recent falling out also. Elsewhere in the interview, Bearer said Vince McMahon "and his stooges" made his life a living hell over his weight gain and bullied him about it constantly. Sounds about right.
  • Gail Kim made her WWE debut at a house show, beating Dawn Marie in a bra and panties match. Dave says Paul Heyman was the one responsible for getting her signed (no word here about how Vince thought she was ugly and Jim Ross had to tell him about how popular Asian porn sites were to convince him to sign her).
COMING JAN. 6: more on WWE/Goldberg discussions, Bob Sapp wins Japan MVP award, WWE Armageddon PPV fallout, and oh yeah....Dave reviews Hulk Hogan's book. Only 2 Rewinds left...
submitted by daprice82 to SquaredCircle [link] [comments]

CBS Article: Why MLB teams might start changing how they value high-contact hitters (McNeil mentioned)

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/why-mlb-teams-might-start-changing-how-they-value-high-contact-hitters/
Is a high-average renaissance coming in baseball? By Matt Snyder
"Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game" was published in 2003. Michael Lewis' book was then turned into a movie that was released in 2011. And yet, in 2021, there are still so many people out there with the misconception that playing "Moneyball" was about a specific stat ("Moneyball is on-base percentage!" the ignorant will cry out) or even some sort of "sabermetrics" revolution to make people hate the stats they long held near and dear in favor of "newfangled" stuff.
I'll pause for laughter.
No, it's actually about finding market inefficiencies. That is, what skillsets are other teams undervaluing and how can we acquire players -- mostly cheaply -- to exploit this for our gain. There have been several iterations since the initial movement from average to OBP and slugging. Defense is certainly up there, a combination of shifting/positioning and getting undervalued defensive players. Things have obviously been done on the pitching side, such as shortening the game with super bullpens and using openers, among other things.
In light of where things are headed right now in baseball, I'm wondering if we're coming full circle very soon with what type of hitter is undervalued.
That is to say, while the initial "Moneyball" movement set baseball on a path, where average was less important than the other two main rate stats (meaning more emphasis was put on drawing walks -- and, in related matters, working deep counts -- and hitting for power). In the process, we have seen a great shift toward the so-called Three True Outcomes (home runs, walks, strikeouts).
As a result, who got left a bit behind? The high-average, high-contact hitters, possibly with low power.
I said I'm wondering if we're about to come full circle because not only do I believe there's a chance at a market inefficiency in there, I also think the forces of the game are swinging toward this type of hitter being undervalued.
Strikeouts continue to rise. More and more, it seems like whichever team each game hits "the big home run" is the one that goes on to win. Here are the lowest batting averages in MLB since World War I:
1968: .237 1967: .242 1972: .244 2020: .245 If we're wondering about the small sample or want to blame the pandemic, the 2019 average was .252 and the league hit .248 in 2018.
If some of those years above jumped out, it's for good reason. After 1967-68, the pitcher's mound was lowered. After 1972, the American League added the DH.
Meanwhile, in 2020, strikeouts per team game actually dropped -- to the second-most all-time -- from 2019, but 2020 marked the first year it wasn't a new strikeouts per game record since 2007.
It's gotten to the point that it isn't just a small subset fans or curmudgeon broadcasters whining. Many baseball fans acknowledge the game needs more on-field action. At this point, pretty open-minded and even-keel people are discussing that something has to change. Home runs are great. Walks were far too long an underappreciated part of the game. Big strikeouts are excellent to watch. It's just that we should have more than those things along with groundballs and fly balls going right at nearly perfectly positioned defenders.
On one hand, the pitchers and defense are very good. On another, maybe the shift in philosophy left too many different types of hitters behind. Maybe things should tilt back a bit the other way?
After stepping down from his perch as Cubs president, Theo Epstein took a job with the commissioner's office and said something along these lines (emphasis mine).
"As the game evolves, we all have an interest in ensuring the changes we see on the field make the game as entertaining and action-packed as possible for the fans, while preserving all that makes baseball so special. I look forward to working with interested parties throughout the industry to help us collectively navigate toward the very best version of our game."
He had recently sort of lamented his own role in shaping the game, too. Via The Athletic:
"There are some threats to it because of the way the game is evolving," Epstein said. "I take some responsibility for that. Executives like me who have spent a lot of time using analytics and other measures to try to optimize individual and team performance have unwittingly had a negative impact on the aesthetic value of the game and the entertainment value of the game in some respects."
The hunch here is Epstein will have commissioner Rob Manfred's ear pretty strongly in the next few years. We've also already seen Manfred discussing things like either banning or limiting the shift along with something to curtail strikeouts, such as lowering and/or moving back the mound.
Zeroing in on the possibility of shifts going away, and low-strikeout guys become even more valuable. It doesn't take an Epstein-savvy front office member to figure out the chances of finding a hole without the defense perfectly crafted to a spray chart increase.
Further, after seeing so many strikeouts in huge spots with runners on base over the past several years, I can't help but think that even if a hitter that sits something like .230/.340/.500 can be valuable, evening that out with a high-average contact hitter to keep the line moving at times would be beneficial in creating a more well-rounded lineup.
The poster boy here is D.J. LeMahieu. Believe it or not, Epstein actually inherited him with the Cubs, but traded him away his first offseason with Tyler Colvin for Ian Stewart and Casey Weathers. Stewart looked like the high-walk, high-power guy teams coveted at the time (important update: He wasn't). Despite winning a batting title, winning three Gold Gloves and making two All-Star teams, LeMahieu only got a two-year, $24 million deal with the Yankees after the 2018 season as mostly an afterthought in a huge offseason. He went on to finish fourth in AL MVP voting. Then he finished third last season, leading the majors with a .364 average while also pacing the AL in OBP, OPS and OPS+.
Finally heavily sought after, LeMahieu got six years and $90 million to stay with the Yankees this offseason. Yes, he's developed his power, but he only struck out 90 times in 655 plate appearances in 2019 and 21 times in 195 plate appearances in 2020.
With everything conspiring in this direction anyway, I think LeMahieu is starting a wave.
Here are some others (in a non-exhaustive list) who could become increasingly valuable moving forward into the next decade of baseball evolution.
Tommy La Stella - A broken leg cost La Stella half the 2019 season in what looked like his career year. He already had 16 homers, yet had still only struck out 28 times in 321 plate appearances. Last year, he had the lowest strikeout percentage in baseball while hitting .281 with a .370 OBP.
Ketel Marte - Pay too much attention to the loss of power in just 45 games last year at your peril. He still hit .287 and was tough to strikeout. I'm not expecting a full bounce-back to MVP-caliber levels of 2019, but his bat-on-ball skills have pretty steadily improved for five years straight.
David Fletcher - He's improved all three years in all three rate stats and sports a career .292 average with just 123 strikeouts in 1,190 plate appearances. He also ranks near the very bottom of the league in stuff like barrel percentage, exit velocity and hard-hit percentage. Sending some conventional 2019 people running for the hills is a good trait for someone to have when looking for market inefficiency, right?
Jeff McNeil - Why pick between McNeil and a Pete Alonso type when you have both? McNeil in 248 career games is a .319 hitter with only 123 strikeouts in 1,024 plate appearances. Like Fletcher, his "batted ball profile" leaves a lot to be desired, too.
Trea Turner - We've seen former Turner teammates Bryce Harper and Anthony Rendon strike it very rich in free agency while his current teammate Juan Soto rightfully will garner a ton more attention here in the short term. Just don't forget about Trea. His strikeout percentages aren't excessive -- remember, as a leadoff man he takes tons of plate appearances -- and he's a career .296 hitter. He makes consistent contact, has some power and can fly.
Kevin Newman - Newman had a dreadful 2020 season, but it was only 45 games in the middle of a pandemic. I'm not going to harp on that when we've got 130 games of a .308 hitter in 2019 who only struck out 62 times in 531 plate appearances. Don't sleep on him.
Jean Segura - Segura became a different hitter in 2020. His strikeout percentage jumped from 11.8 to 20.7. Along with it went his previously high average. But he walked a lot more and his OBP went up. It was weird. Regardless, keep in mind what a fluky season 2020 was. Segura was in the top five percent of toughest hitters to strikeout in 2018 and 2019 while topping a .300 average 2016-18. He's 30. I have faith in him being productive with a good average and lower strikeout rate in 2021. And hey, maybe he'll even keep walking. I never said it was bad.
Jake Cronenworth - As a rookie last year, Cronenworth put together a season in which he would've struck out around 90 times in a full year while hitting .285. His minor-league and amateur profile has long shown someone with good contact skills capable of a higher average. He was never a top-100 prospect in the minors, but he now heads into territory where he can have an impact simply by being differently valuable than the 2010s prototype.
To be clear, this premise isn't even remotely saying teams should load up on only these types of players. The best lineups are the most well-rounded. Get you a few of these types to pair with some big boppers and things would be looking pretty damn nice. The conditions are ripe for a bit of a sea change in how hitters are valued in these next few years. Watch LeMahieu, La Stella and company for a guide while someone like Cronenworth carries the torch to the next generation.
submitted by Setec-Astronomer to NewYorkMets [link] [comments]

batting average on different pitch counts video

BABIP, BATTING AVERAGE ON BALLS IN PLAY - Baseball Basics Best Pitching Tips MLB The Show 17 Pitching Tutorial How to Play the Pull Shot- Batting Drills - Cricket Coaching Top Ten Best Batting Averages Ever Slo-mo look at Joe Mauer's swing Raphael Turner  Your Hands Are Killing Your Power Baseball Hitting Lesson: Approach

The batting tips we want to show is a good hitter must ‘harvest their hay when it is ready to be cut.’ In baseball terms, you better get your hits when the ball-strike count is in your favor. When a batter gets to a count in their favor they had better put their best swing technique on the pitch. If a hitter is late and misses, takes a good pitch, or fouls the pitch off then they likely Batting average analysis, more than interesting statistics, a treasure chest of information to help hitters develop a positive plan for each plate appearance. If you think back to most any baseball game that you watched, professional or amateur, you can no doubt recall some hitters who had some terrible looking plate appearances. Bickel and Stotz (2003) recently looked carefully at the differences in batting averages for different pitch counts. Using Stanford University baseball data for a four-year time period, they calculated the batting average (AVG) and the slugging percentage (SLG) for different pitch counts. They showed that AVG and SLG both significantly 3. Somewhat surprisingly, batting averages don’t change much from a 0-0 pitch (.345) to 1-0 (.344) or 2-0 (.350), counts that would be more advantageous to the hitter. But averages skyrocket 57 points when going from 2-0 to 3-0, and even a 3-1 count is the second most advantageous (.363). 4. The pitch count should have a direct impact on each swing you take at the plate. Certain pitch counts favor the hitter and certain ones favor the pitcher. Just as the smart pitcher takes advantage of the times he is “ahead in the count,” the smart hitter understands when he has the advantage. In these situations, the hitter must capitalize. Of the 11 possible counts other than 0-0, the batter has an advantage over his initial expectations on only four of those counts: 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1. The 2-1 pitch can be considered a "neutral" count for all practical purposes, and the 3-2 pitch, while producing a probable batting average of only .190, does have a .420 OBA expectation due to Every pitch counts in baseball, but the 1-1 pitch counts more than any other Mike Trout says he is unaware what his batting average is in different counts. Advertisement Batting splits by counts, a complete year end summary of how the top 10 hitters from the American and National Leagues fared in each of the 12 possible counts hitters can find themselves in. These particular stats have valuable information for coaches and hitters, as they show a definate seperation betweeen success and strugling, clearly defined by the pitch count. Batting Averages on Specific Counts; COUNT: BATTING AVERAGE : 0-2.118: 1-2.151: 2-2.169: 0-0.186: 3-2.192: 0-1.199: 3-0.267: 1-1.269: 2-1.290: 3-1.329: 2-0.342: 1-0.386

batting average on different pitch counts top

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BABIP, BATTING AVERAGE ON BALLS IN PLAY - Baseball Basics

Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in. 1 0. ... Basic Pitching Mechanics for Young Pitchers - Duration: ... Increase Batting Average with ZONE APPROACH ... Best Pitching Tips MLB The Show 17 Pitching Tutorial New viewer? Subscribe to me on YouTube for MLB The Show 17 Tips, News, Reviews, and Edited Gameplays h... Best batting average stats players MLB - Line Bar Chart Race 2011 - 2019 - Duration: 1:31. Data Race 203 views One of the first things you learn about swinging the bat is actually being able to hold it properly. It's one of the first determining factors in how long your bat will remain in the zone. Are you ... Sign in to make your opinion count. Sign in. 913 75. Don't like this video? Sign in to make your opinion count. ... The Top 3 Baseball Hitting Drills to Improve Batting Average! Breaking down BABIP, or Batting Average on Balls in Play. I explain how it differs from batters to pitchers (with a brief explainer of Batting Average vs Batting Average Against), and what the ... 3-time batting champion has a .308 career batting average.

batting average on different pitch counts

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