Introduction

Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race. Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models.
As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.

Polls

Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance.
Several polls are in the field, so we won't have a full picture of the field until next week when more are expected to be released. Until then, here are the polls since August 16th.

Poll	Date	Type	Biden	Trump
USC Dornsife	8-30	National	54	39
YouGov	8-29	National	47	41
Morning Consult	8-29	National	50	44
Morning Consult	8-29	National	52	42
USC Dornsife	8-29	National	52	40
Emerson College	8-28	Massachusetts	69	30
Trafalgar Group	8-28	Michigan	45	46
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-28	National	48	38
Franklin & Marshall College	8-27	Pennsylvania	49	42
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-26	National	47	38
Ipsos	8-26	National	44	37
Benenson Strategy Group	8-26	National	50	39
Rasmussen Reports	8-26	National	46	45
YouGov	8-26	National	50	41
Roanoke College	8-26	Virginia	53	39
Ipsos	8-26	National	47	40
Change Research	8-26	Wisconsin	49	44
Change Research	8-26	Arizona	49	47
Change Research	8-26	Michigan	50	44
Change Research	8-26	Florida	49	46
Change Research	8-26	National	51	43
Change Research	8-26	North Carolina	48	47
Change Research	8-26	Pennsylvania	49	46
Trafalgar Group	8-25	Wisconsin	45	46
Public Policy Polling	8-25	Delaware	58	37
Public Policy Polling	8-25	New York	63	32
Public Policy Polling	8-25	Florida	48	44
Morning Consult	8-24	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	42
Morning Consult	8-24	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	42
Léger	8-24	National	49	40
Morning Consult	8-24	National	52	42
Morning Consult	8-24	North Carolina	49	46
Public Policy Polling	8-24	Texas	48	47
Trafalgar Group	8-24	Louisiana	37	54
YouGov	8-24	National	50	39
TargetSmart	8-24	Ohio	47	46
YouGov	8-23	National	52	42
Morning Consult	8-22	National	52	43
Morning Consult	8-22	National	51	43
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-22	National	49	39
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Pennsylvania	48	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Florida	49	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	North Carolina	44	46
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Michigan	50	38
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Wisconsin	49	39
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-21	Arizona	47	38
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-21	National	46	38
Civiqs	8-21	Wisconsin	51	45
Civiqs	8-21	Pennsylvania	51	44
Civiqs	8-21	Michigan	49	46
Civiqs	8-21	Ohio	47	47
DKC Analytics	8-21	New Jersey	52	33
Saint Anselm College	8-20	New Hampshire	51	43
Muhlenberg College	8-20	Pennsylvania	49	45
Global Strategy Group	8-20	Texas	47	45
Echelon Insights	8-20	National	51	38
Echelon Insights	8-20	National	53	39
Data for Progress	8-20	National	50	41
Morning Consult	8-20	National	47	36
Morning Consult	8-20	National	49	39
Trafalgar Group	8-19	Minnesota	46	46
Ipsos	8-19	National	48	40
Ipsos	8-19	National	45	36
ALG Research	8-19	Louisiana	43	50
Rasmussen Reports	8-19	National	48	44
YouGov	8-19	National	50	40
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-18	National	45	39
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Wisconsin	47	47
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Florida	49	49
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Pennsylvania	50	46
OnMessage Inc.	8-18	Arizona	48	51
GQR Research (GQRR)	8-18	Michigan	52	43
Léger	8-17	National	51	35
Morning Consult	8-17	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	43
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-17	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-17	Wisconsin	49	43
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	8-17	National	48	40
Landmark Communications	8-17	Georgia	44	47
YouGov	8-17	National	49	38
YouGov	8-17	National	50	41
YouGov	8-17	Texas	40	47
ABC News	8-17	National	54	44
ABC News	8-17	National	53	41
ABC News	8-17	National	53	41
SSRS	8-16	National	50	46
YouGov	8-16	National	52	42
East Carolina University	8-16	North Carolina	46	46
NBC News	8-16	National	50	41

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race:

Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO

Polling Models

Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon:

FiveThirtyEight - after months of work, the model is live! 538's team of analysts have put together a beast of a forecast for 2020. It runs 40,000 simulations of the election and uses that data to come up with a projected winner out of 100 sampled outcomes. It also breaks down the projection to show potential electoral college results, popular vote share, tipping point state likelihood, and it can even be broken down into state-level analytics.
Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well.

Weiner Cele-bz Se-x Bill Ta-pe Vid_

General Election Polling Discussion Thread (Aug 9, 2020)

Introduction

Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race.
Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models.
As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.

Polls

Poll	Date	Type	Biden	Trump
YouGov	8-9	Pennsylvania	49	43
YouGov	8-9	Wisconsin	48	42
Global Strategy Group	8-7	National	49	45
Zogby Interactive	8-7	National	46	46
Zogby Interactive	8-7	National	46	46
Zogby Interactive	8-7	National	46	45
Trafalgar Group	8-7	Texas	43	49
Public Policy Polling	8-7	Kansas	43	50
Research Co.	8-7	National	48	38
EPIC-MRA	8-7	Michigan	51	40
Harris Insights & Analytics	8-5	National	43	40
RMG Research	8-6	Iowa	40	41
Quinnipiac University	8-6	South Carolina	42	47
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Maine CD-1	61	30
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Maine CD-2	44	45
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Kentucky	41	50
Quinnipiac University	8-6	Maine	52	37
David Binder Research	8-6	Michigan	51	41
David Binder Research	8-6	Wisconsin	53	42
David Binder Research	8-6	Minnesota	54	36
David Binder Research	8-6	Iowa	49	43
DFM Research	8-6	Oklahoma	36	56
Data for Progress	8-6	Maine	53	43
Data for Progress	8-6	Iowa	45	46
Data for Progress	8-6	Maine	49	42
Data for Progress	8-6	North Carolina	49	45
Data for Progress	8-6	North Carolina	46	44
Data for Progress	8-6	Iowa	42	44
Data for Progress	8-6	Arizona	47	44
Data for Progress	8-6	Arizona	45	43
Bluegrass Voters Coalition	8-5	Kentucky	34	55
Morning Consult	8-5	Indiana	38	55
Bluegrass Voters Coalition	8-5	Kentucky	45	52
Ipsos	8-5	National	54	45
Ipsos	8-5	National	56	44
Marquette University Law School	8-5	Wisconsin	52	44
Marquette University Law School	8-5	Wisconsin	49	45
Rasmussen Reports	8-5	National	48	45
Monmouth University	8-5	Iowa	46	48
Monmouth University	8-5	Iowa	45	48
Monmouth University	8-5	Iowa	47	47
YouGov	8-5	National	49	40
Zogby Interactive	8-5	North Carolina	44	40
Zogby Interactive	8-5	Florida	43	43
Zogby Interactive	8-5	Ohio	43	41
Zogby Interactive	8-5	Pennsylvania	44	43
MRG Research	8-5	Hawaii	56	29
Hodas & Associates	8-5	Wisconsin	52	37
Hodas & Associates	8-5	Michigan	52	40
Hodas & Associates	8-5	Pennsylvania	50	44
University of California, Berkeley	8-4	California	67	28
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-4	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-4	National	51	42
Morning Consult	8-4	National	50	43
Morning Consult	8-4	Texas	47	46
Morning Consult	8-4	South Carolina	44	49
Morning Consult	8-4	Kentucky	35	59
Morning Consult	8-4	Alabama	36	58
Fox News	8-3	National	48	41
Public Policy Polling	8-3	Michigan	49	43
Global Strategy Group	8-3	Wisconsin	51	42
Emerson College	8-3	Montana	45	54
Center for Marketing and Opinion Research	8-3	Ohio	45	41
YouGov	8-2	Georgia	46	45
YouGov	8-2	North Carolina	48	44
Emerson College	7-31	National	53	46
YouGov	7-31	National	49	40
Data for Progress	7-31	National	51	42
Data for Progress	7-31	National	50	43
Public Policy Polling	7-31	Minnesota	52	42
University of New Hampshire	7-30	New Hampshire	52	39
University of New Hampshire	7-30	New Hampshire	44	46
University of New Hampshire	7-30	New Hampshire	53	40
IBD	7-30	National	48	41
Virginia Commonwealth University	7-30	Virginia	50	39
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Wisconsin	45	35
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Michigan	49	37
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Arizona	46	38
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Pennsylvania	48	41
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	North Carolina	43	42
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	7-30	Florida	48	41
Franklin & Marshall College	7-30	Pennsylvania	50	41
Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)	7-30	North Carolina	46	48
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	7-30	Florida	50	46
Harris Insights & Analytics	7-29	National	55	45
Optimus	7-29	National	47	40
Optimus	7-29	National	38	31
TargetPoint	7-29	Michigan	49	33
Rasmussen Reports	7-29	National	48	42
Monmouth University	7-29	Georgia	47	47
Monmouth University	7-29	Georgia	47	48
Monmouth University	7-29	Georgia	46	49
YouGov	7-29	National	49	40
Zogby Interactive	7-29	National	44	40
Ipsos	7-29	National	57	43
Ipsos	7-29	National	57	43
Change Research	7-29	Pennsylvania	48	46
Change Research	7-29	Florida	48	45
Change Research	7-29	National	51	42
Change Research	7-29	Arizona	47	45
Change Research	7-29	Michigan	46	42
Change Research	7-29	Wisconsin	48	43
Change Research	7-29	North Carolina	49	46
SurveyUSA	7-28	Washington	62	28
Morning Consult	7-28	Wisconsin	49	44
Morning Consult	7-28	North Carolina	46	49
Morning Consult	7-28	Michigan	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Minnesota	49	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Florida	47	48
Morning Consult	7-28	Ohio	42	50
Morning Consult	7-28	Virginia	52	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Pennsylvania	48	44
Morning Consult	7-28	Texas	43	50
Morning Consult	7-28	Georgia	47	49
Morning Consult	7-28	Colorado	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Arizona	45	47
Colby College	7-28	Maine	50	38
Colby College	7-28	Maine CD-1	55	35
Colby College	7-28	Maine CD-2	45	42
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Montana	45	50
Public Policy Polling	7-28	North Carolina	49	46
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Alaska	44	50
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Maine	53	42
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Georgia	46	45
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Colorado	54	41
Public Policy Polling	7-28	Iowa	47	48
DKC Analytics	7-28	New Jersey	51	33
MassINC Polling Group	7-28	Massachusetts	55	23
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	51	42
Morning Consult	7-28	National	48	44
Morning Consult	7-28	National	49	44
Morning Consult	7-28	National	49	43
Morning Consult	7-28	Minnesota	47	44
Morning Consult	7-28	Texas	47	45
Morning Consult	7-28	Michigan	52	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Georgia	47	46
Morning Consult	7-28	North Carolina	47	47
Morning Consult	7-28	Ohio	45	48
Morning Consult	7-28	Pennsylvania	50	42
Morning Consult	7-28	Virginia	52	41
Morning Consult	7-28	Florida	49	46
Morning Consult	7-28	Wisconsin	50	43
Morning Consult	7-28	Colorado	52	39
Morning Consult	7-28	Arizona	49	42
ALG Research	7-27	South Carolina	45	50
Trafalgar Group	7-27	Minnesota	49	44
brilliant corners Research & Strategies	7-27	South Carolina	43	50
Harris Insights & Analytics	7-27	National	55	45
Kaiser Family Foundation	7-27	National	47	38
Marist College	7-27	North Carolina	51	44
AP-NORC	7-27	National	46	34
YouGov	7-26	National	51	41
YouGov	7-26	Michigan	48	42
YouGov	7-26	Ohio	45	46
Marist College	7-26	Arizona	50	45
SSRS	7-26	Michigan	52	40
SSRS	7-26	Arizona	49	45
SSRS	7-26	Florida	51	46
Gravis Marketing	7-25	Pennsylvania	48	45
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	52	43
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	51	41
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	49	40
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	53	38
Echelon Insights	7-24	National	50	37
Gravis Marketing	7-24	Michigan	51	42
Gravis Marketing	7-24	Wisconsin	50	42
Data for Progress	7-24	National	49	43
Data for Progress	7-24	National	49	43
Fox News	7-23	Michigan	49	40
Fox News	7-23	Minnesota	51	38
Fox News	7-23	Pennsylvania	50	39
Global Strategy Group	7-23	National	50	39
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group	7-23	National	51	43
GQR Research (GQRR)	7-23	National	55	44

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
Media predictions - CNN | U.S. News | NPR | POLITICO

Polling Models

FiveThirtyEight - this model isn't active yet (though Nate's been sharing some results from it, so it may be coming out soon^TM ), but it's the original model from Nate Silver that debuted in 2008 and really kicked off this genre of race prognostication. For now, here's the polling aggregates that they've set up in lieu of a now-cast (which is likely not returning to the model this year). Will likely also include Senate and House projections like in past years.
Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.

Prediction Markets

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update November 2, 2020

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update November 2, 2020
Notes by mr_tyler_durden and Daily Update Team
Check your registration status, ballot status, or how to vote here!
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Watch here:

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Headlines

109,670 Cases (+1,032), 1,492 Deaths (+3)
New cases by county: 200x Jefferson, 147x Fayette, 31x Warren, 30x McCracken, 29x Kenton, 28x Bullitt, 24x Boone, 22x Floyd, 22x Hardin, 22x Whitley, 21x Daviess, 19x Hopkins, 16x Calloway, 15x Campbell, 12x Carter, 12x Graves, 12x Madison, 12x Mercer, 12x Shelby, 11x Hart, 11x Pike, 10x Boyle, 10x Jackson, 10x Lewis, 9x Bell, 9x Harlan, 9x Larue, 9x Oldham, 8x Grayson, 8x Marshall, 8x Nelson, 8x Perry, 7x Christian, 7x Clark, 7x Franklin, 7x Jessamine, 7x Letcher, 7x McCreary, 7x Wolfe, 7x Woodford, 6x Barren, 6x Boyd, 6x Breathitt, 6x Montgomery, 6x Taylor, 5x Clay, 5x Greenup, 5x Leslie, 5x Monroe, 5x Pulaski, 5x Rowan, 5x Wayne, 4x Bath, 4x Estill, 4x Henderson, 4x Knox, 4x Laurel, 4x Marion, 4x Ohio, 4x Scott, 3x Allen, 3x Bourbon, 3x Fleming, 3x Grant, 3x Henry, 3x Lincoln, 3x Logan, 3x Metcalfe, 3x Webster, 2x Adair, 2x Caldwell, 2x Casey, 2x Clinton, 2x Garrard, 2x Green, 2x Hancock, 2x Harrison, 2x Johnson, 2x Mason, 2x Menifee, 2x Muhlenberg, 2x Washington, 1x Ballard, 1x Breckinridge, 1x Cumberland, 1x Gallatin, 1x Hickman, 1x Lawrence, 1x Magoffin, 1x Martin, 1x Meade, 1x Morgan, 1x Nicholas, 1x Pendleton, 1x Powell, 1x Rockcastle, 1x Simpson, 1x Spencer, 1x Todd, 1x Trigg, 1x Trimble, 1x Union
New deaths by county: 82 M Hardin, 93 M Jessamine, 59 M (a healthcare worker) Whitley
Fast 4 Today.
- 1. Jobs: And now, today, company leaders and I announced Handle plans a $7.8M investment to add warehousing space in Jefferson County, and to increase employment by the end of 2021 with 80 high-paying jobs across its distribution and headquarters operations.
- 2. Utility Relief: It's our Healthy at Home Utility Relief Fund. We had announced this earlier, but we hadn't gotten the application process up and starting, so here's a few more details. For households with income up to 200% of the federal poverty level who have been economically impacted during COVID, we are providing $15M of CARES Act funding and assistance to help pay up to $500 for these families, for these households, past due utility bills. The maximum benefit is up to $500 for past due water or wastewater bills.
- 3. Vote: You could vote by absentee ballot, if you have an absentee ballot, and you have not mailed it- don't mail it, take it to a drop box. That's the best way to make sure that it is counted- take it there tomorrow, don't wait, take it and drop it off there to make sure your vote is counted, you requested that ballot. <...> If you haven't voted yet, and you're not voting by the end of today's early voting period, go tomorrow, but make a plan about when to go. And everybody shouldn't go just right in the morning. Wear your mask, make sure you wear it the whole time when you're there in case it's crowded.
- 4. Mask Up KY: Media Below
I want to address some news that we saw on Friday. And that was that in the past, there had been a presentation, given at the Kentucky State Police Academy that quoted Adolf Hitler and Robert E. Lee from what we can find thus far that individual presentation, we believe, was only given one single time to one single class, but it is absolutely and totally unacceptable. Unacceptable.There is no rationale or reason that is ever okay. And while we believe that this was done that one time six years ago, we’re not stopping there, we’re checking all training materials going back in time and looking at the present, and we are committed to making this right.
In the United States, an American tests positive every 1.2 seconds for COVID-19. And we are losing an American to COVID-19, every 1:47s.
This is a deadly pandemic and for those that don't believe it takes people's lives are a big part of taking people's lives, there's almost 1200 families a day that have lost somebody.
So, another tough day but another opportunity to make sure that we're banding together to beat this virus. Remember, this week, if you are in a red county, let’s buckle down, let's do what it takes to lessen the virus in your community. It's up to you. It's up to me. It's up to absolutely everybody around you. This week, all the way through Sunday, let's make sure we're following that red zone recommendation guidance, We want to cancel as many public, private events that there are, don’t do gatherings of any size this week if you're in a red County, don't have people over to your house. Make sure that if you can work virtually, you do it. And employers, this is the best opportunity not to have it spread significantly throughout your facility. Please work with us on that. Support your local businesses this week: order carry out, curbside, takeout. Make sure that you reduce your in-person contacts by as much as you possibly can.
But I know we've had some folks that, again, whether it's real, that they have questions or not that ask, “Well, wait a minute, we already have all these mandates in place, but we continue to see our cases increase, why?” Well, places where we don't have certain mandates in place, are increasing at a higher rate, that's number one. And number two, our compliance with those mandates has lessened over time. So I just want to show you just a couple of graphs. The first one up here looks at cases by week; this is total new cases with a seven-day average between us and Tennessee. And I just chose these two because we're border states, we have a mask mandate and Tennessee does not. You could see that we were both at risk for a significant escalation back in July and that is when we put our mask mandate into effect. And you can see what we avoided in terms of cases that that state went through. And while there was a period of time where they began to decrease, what we are seeing is even in the escalation right now, having that in place has us at a lower rate.
Good afternoon Governor, it’s Karen. With elections tomorrow, do you have any concerns over electioneering potentially happening since lines are expected to exceed that hundred foot legal limit from polling entrances. And if so, what measures are being taken? -- There is some though we have not seen indications that there is a coordinated attempt out there. I saw an opinion from the AG’s office that I haven't had a chance to read saying, you know, hundred feet from the polling location is the front of the location and doesn't include people in line. I'm really concerned about that. People who show up in line to vote, should not have anybody trying to get their vote either in a positive or a negative way, when they are standing in line- that's not acceptable when you've shown up to cast that vote. We’ll be watching very carefully. And for folks out there, just don't do it, don't do it. Have a little human decency, leave people who have shown up to vote alone.
Hi Governor, it's Drew Gardner, I had a question about preparations for post-election events that may happen. New York City, Indianapolis, DC all preparing for civil unrest in the streets, has there been any discussions or preparations in Kentucky for the potential of seeing that here? -- Well we are monitoring, whether it's social platforms or others. Right now we are not seeing what other places are. We don't, at this point, anticipate a civil unrest that would cause any response.
Tomorrow I'm gonna be here at four, we’re only going to go about 20 minutes, I'm just going to give the COVID update because I know it's Election Day, we're going to do it virtually just like this.
Slides from Update

Full Notes

Hi everybody, it's four o'clock at time we come together, Monday through Thursday, to remember that we're gonna get through this and we're gonna get through this together.
We're gonna get through what is a very difficult time in fighting this virus. We're going to make it. Remember we're going to make it but how many people that we lose between now and when we get this vaccine disseminated is going to be up to every single one of us. So we're going to need to do everything it takes as a part of Team Kentucky to protect those around us. I want to start tonight by thanking the Stonestreet elementary administration, teachers, and staff for their mask, thank you for working to keep your kids and each other safe during these difficult times. I want to start with some good news with our Fast Four at Four, then we're going to get into our COVID report which continues to show escalation of this very dangerous virus.
First, let's talk about some positive things that are going on in this Commonwealth. Number one is jobs. Today, amid the escalating COVID cases, and difficult news, we get to announce something really positive. The expansion of one of Kentucky's own tech startups. Making it additionally noteworthy, this company has been key in the fight against this pandemic. Healthcare asset network, doing business as Handle Global, helps healthcare providers and federal agencies manage their equipment supply chain, and other health care assets. The company was founded in Louisville in 2014, and is led by former healthcare providers and manufacturing and technology executives. Across the company's early years, Team Kentucky's entrepreneurial support system provided assistance to help Handle grow. And now, today, company leaders and I announced Handle plans a $7.8M investment to add warehousing space in Jefferson County, and to increase employment by the end of 2021 with 80 high-paying jobs across its distribution and headquarters operations. Let me pause, tell you how significant it is to see a Kentucky-based tech company scale up from startup, to a mid-size employer. Company's growth in just a few short years has been impressive, and I think it shows what we're going to be doing in Kentucky for years to come. Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic Handle has helped guide healthcare businesses and government agencies, through its supply chain analytics platform, as well as through the sale of medical equipment especially PPE, personal protective equipment. Handle is part of more than 200 healthcare related technology service and manufacturing facilities in Kentucky employing over 30,000 people in our state. So congratulations to Handle Global. Thank you for what you've done during COVID and what you're doing. Thank you for the example of how the economy of the future is one that we can build from just one good idea, right here in Kentucky.
Alright second on our Fast Four at Four is more help for those with bills that can't cover, during this pandemic. It's our Healthy at Home Utility Relief Fund. We had announced this earlier, but we hadn't gotten the application process up and starting, so here's a few more details. For households with income up to 200% of the federal poverty level who have been economically impacted during COVID, we are providing $15M of CARES Act funding and assistance to help pay up to $500 for these families, for these households, past due utility bills. The maximum benefit is up to $500 for past due water or wastewater bills. For a limited number of households, you can pay up to $200 for past two electric or natural gas bills, up to two times. Apply at your local Community Action Agency. So to locate your community action agency called 1-800-456-3452 or visit www.capky.org. Applicants are going to have to provide documentation, including their most current utility bill, proof of arrearage- that's being behind in your bills, payment plan or disconnect notice for utilities, proof of social security number or permanent residence card or green card for each member of the household and proof of all members of the household income from the preceding month. Again, this is just another way, on top of healthcare, food assistance, the rental assistance fund, and of employment and that extra $400 that the state opted to provide, that not that many states did, that we are trying to help people make it through. So please, please, take advantage of this program, we want you to emerge from this not just healthy and resilient, but we don't want people coming out of it with so much debt that they can't dig out.
Alright, number three, vote. Tomorrow is Election Day, and we are on path, I believe, to break records in how this election is conducted. And you have had more ways to vote in this election than ever before and I want to thank Secretary of State Michael Adams, with reaching a bipartisan agreement with me to provide all of those various methods. You could vote by absentee ballot, if you have an absentee ballot, and you have not mailed it- don't mail it, take it to a drop box. That's the best way to make sure that it is counted- take it there tomorrow, don't wait, take it and drop it off there to make sure your vote is counted, you requested that ballot. You want to make sure it's in and counted so make sure you get it done in that way. We were able to vote early three weeks, including Saturdays and I think a lot of people enjoy that flexibility with their schedule. And then there's election day tomorrow. If you haven't voted yet, and you're not voting by the end of today's early voting period, go tomorrow, but make a plan about when to go. And everybody shouldn't go just right in the morning. Wear your mask, make sure you wear it the whole time when you're there in case it's crowded. Make sure you make that plan about when you're going to go and how you're going to get there. This is our opportunity to be a model for the rest of the country about what a little bipartisanship can mean. And when we make voting easier, more people than ever vote, and that's just good for democracy. And let me just add that I know that there are a lot of strong feelings by people about who they want to win on Tuesday night. And whether or not we know, Tuesday night, or not, who the various winners are on Wednesday, are still all Americans and we're still all members of this Commonwealth. The division we're seeing in our country right now is of great concern. This attempt to make each other the enemy is so disruptive when we have so many real enemies out there. We have a pandemic that is picking off our people and somehow politics has infiltrated our response to it, and how effective we can be at saving individuals around us. We have outside enemies, pick them, Iran, North Korea, Russia that want us as a country to fail and you know what? They don't really care who wins the election as long as we continue to fight each other. So let's remember Wednesday, where all members of this Commonwealth and we ought to try to act like it.
Alright, number four of the Fast Four at Four, Mask Up Kentucky with just a few examples of in and around Halloween people wearing their masks and doing it right. So if we can go to the first one.
- Alright, I admit, this was pretty funny, but this guy is a lot better looking than I am and probably does a better job behind the podium. But it was creative but the main reason I wanted to show this is whoever's house this was, and maybe Dorothy's, was doing it right, had the table out there, how the candy spread out, she was doing what it took to protect this young man who, you know, based on this get up, obviously has a bright future.
- Alright, the next one is Amy Boyd in a fall tradition with her daughters to the Crawford Farms pumpkin patch. So she says “this year was a little different, we wore masks, socially distance and took advantage of the additional hand washing stations” she was still able to have fun. But look, the daughters are doing the responsible thing. The family is doing the responsible thing. All it takes, all it takes is us wearing a mask, following the guidance, you can still do so much and have so many opportunities. If we all would just agree to a little inconvenience, we could have a whole lot of our lives back.
Alright. Before we get to the COVID report, I want to address some news that we saw on Friday. And that was that in the past, there had been a presentation, given at the Kentucky State Police Academy that quoted Adolf Hitler and Robert E. Lee from what we can find thus far that individual presentation, we believe, was only given one single time to one single class, but it is absolutely and totally unacceptable. Unacceptable.There is no rationale or reason that is ever okay. And while we believe that this was done that one time six years ago, we’re not stopping there, we’re checking all training materials going back in time and looking at the present, and we are committed to making this right. To our brothers and sisters in the Jewish community in Kentucky, this should have never happened. And we are committed- this administration is committed to making sure that not only does this never happen in the future, but that we repair any damage done in the past. You should never have to wake up to or see this news. I know I can never feel the type of impact that you feel from it but I've been meeting with community leaders, having called calls with others, making sure that we have the community as part of the solution here. And that we more broadly look to make sure that the training that we provide to those who are willing to go out there and be our law enforcement officers, is the absolute best training that helps us all to understand whether it's religions, cultures, or differences. Make sure that we don't lead or create conflict, but that we can, everybody in the law enforcement community, do the very best job for all of our people which I believe they truly want to do. And that we are training, the way we need to to get the very best results in every situation, which is everybody being as safe as they can be. We're not going to rest until we fix this. And we're going to continue to work to rectify, again, something that's absolutely wrong and unacceptable.
Alright, moving to our COVID report- Well let me just finally mention that meeting I had this afternoon on that topic, I really do appreciate, whether it was, an executive director from the community, or the number of rabbis that were in the call, thank you for all of your thoughts and your commitment to work with us, we really appreciate you. We really appreciate you and everything that you add to our Commonwealth.
Alright on to our COVID update. Folks in America, and in Kentucky, but first in America this is getting increasingly more and more dangerous. The newest numbers are absolutely staggering. That at last week's pace that we just saw. In the United States, an American tests positive every 1.2 seconds for COVID-19. And we are losing an American to COVID-19, every 1:47s.
This is a deadly pandemic and for those that don't believe it takes people's lives are a big part of taking people's lives, there's almost 1200 families a day that have lost somebody. Can you imagine that? We’re losing 1200 plus Americans, a day and we have some individuals that say, “Oh, it's not real.” You know, think about the amount of grief. There's crying out every day in this country and in this Commonwealth, based on those that we have lost- I hope that we are good enough people, regardless of the difficulty in dealing with this virus that we can say, “Oh my goodness. Our actions or inactions are resulting in a type of loss in my life that is inconceivable”, and is going to exceed every major war from the standpoint of lost Kentuckians that we have endured.
So that's nationally. Here in the state. Last week, we set a record for cases and it wasn't close. Last week we had 11,700 cases, the next closest week was the one before with 9,335 cases. That is a huge and significant jump. And what it says is, we have to do better and we have to take action. That's why today is the first day that our red zone recommendations are in effect, along with our school recommendations, along with long term care. That means, in our red counties, I believe we have about 68 of them right now, we should be learning virtually, we should be restricting visitation in long term care, every business should be allowing every individual that can work from home to work from home, our government offices should be virtual and closed unless they provide services that can only be done in person. And to our individuals, you should have committed to hunkering down for this week, to reducing the times that you go out, knowing that this week is absolutely critical, and there is the highest chance that you will get COVID, or that you could potentially bring it back to your family, than you have ever seen in your community. If you are in a red zone county, we need everybody following these recommendations, otherwise this escalation continues to increase. It takes all of us working together, business, government school system, and individuals. If all that group, that community comes together, we truly believe that we can lessen the spread. If we follow them, it will work.
But I know we've had some folks that, again, whether it's real, that they have questions or not that ask, “Well, wait a minute, we already have all these mandates in place, but we continue to see our cases increase, why?” Well, places where we don't have certain mandates in place, are increasing at a higher rate, that's number one. And number two, our compliance with those mandates has lessened over time. So I just want to show you just a couple of graphs. The first one up here looks at cases by week; this is total new cases with a seven-day average between us and Tennessee. And I just chose these two because we're border states, we have a mask mandate and Tennessee does not. You could see that we were both at risk for a significant escalation back in July and that is when we put our mask mandate into effect. And you can see what we avoided in terms of cases that that state went through. And while there was a period of time where they began to decrease, what we are seeing is even in the escalation right now, having that in place has us at a lower rate. But remember, the distance between their line and our line, is a whole lot of people suffering from COVID-19 that some percentage ends up in the hospital, some percentage ends up at the ICU, some percentage ends up dead. The fewer cases we have, the more people we protect, and I think that shows you graphically, what that mask mandate has accomplished thus far. Now as our line gets closer to their line, we're not wearing our masks as much as we used to. The effectiveness of our mandate is how many people wear them each and every day so we need everybody to pick it up.
Let me show you a second one, and this is on deaths. Again, what we see is that the two states had a very similar experience in terms of lost lives, you know, it went back and forth early on and we don't wish for anybody to succumb to COVID-19. But you can see here again, the difference between when the mask mandate was put into effect and today, what the impact there is. When you have fewer cases, you lose fewer people. When more people wear a mask, you don't have as much spread so you have fewer cases. All these things that we have put into effect have an impact. How big of an impact they have is how well that we do. You know it's how many study tools we give to our kids has an impact on the grades they get. Whether or not they get an A or not, depends on whether or not they put those study habits and tools into actual practice. So we as government, like in many ways we as parents, can provide the tools and the structure, we can communicate the knowledge, and what it takes, then we need people to go out there and to do what it takes to make sure that we protect one another, and do the right thing. You look at where we are right now which is significant. Tennessee last week averaged 2,700 infections and 36 deaths per day, per day. We do not wish that on them, we do not wish that on anybody, but hopefully that will show everybody just a little bit about why we have these rules in place and also if we follow them, how much of an impact they can have. And we need it, we need everybody bringing their A game right now because today we're reporting the highest Monday that we've ever reported. In fact the last seven days, five of them were the highest that we've ever had on that given day. Remember Monday's not as many labs are working over the weekend, typically much lower numbers.
Positive cases today: 1,032
Probable cases: 17,442
Total confirmed cases: 109,670 - How quickly we've gone from 100,000 to almost 110,000
New cases by county: 200x Jefferson, 147x Fayette, 31x Warren, 30x McCracken, 29x Kenton, 28x Bullitt, 24x Boone, 22x Floyd, 22x Hardin, 22x Whitley, 21x Daviess, 19x Hopkins, 16x Calloway, 15x Campbell, 12x Carter, 12x Graves, 12x Madison, 12x Mercer, 12x Shelby, 11x Hart, 11x Pike, 10x Boyle, 10x Jackson, 10x Lewis, 9x Bell, 9x Harlan, 9x Larue, 9x Oldham, 8x Grayson, 8x Marshall, 8x Nelson, 8x Perry, 7x Christian, 7x Clark, 7x Franklin, 7x Jessamine, 7x Letcher, 7x McCreary, 7x Wolfe, 7x Woodford, 6x Barren, 6x Boyd, 6x Breathitt, 6x Montgomery, 6x Taylor, 5x Clay, 5x Greenup, 5x Leslie, 5x Monroe, 5x Pulaski, 5x Rowan, 5x Wayne, 4x Bath, 4x Estill, 4x Henderson, 4x Knox, 4x Laurel, 4x Marion, 4x Ohio, 4x Scott, 3x Allen, 3x Bourbon, 3x Fleming, 3x Grant, 3x Henry, 3x Lincoln, 3x Logan, 3x Metcalfe, 3x Webster, 2x Adair, 2x Caldwell, 2x Casey, 2x Clinton, 2x Garrard, 2x Green, 2x Hancock, 2x Harrison, 2x Johnson, 2x Mason, 2x Menifee, 2x Muhlenberg, 2x Washington, 1x Ballard, 1x Breckinridge, 1x Cumberland, 1x Gallatin, 1x Hickman, 1x Lawrence, 1x Magoffin, 1x Martin, 1x Meade, 1x Morgan, 1x Nicholas, 1x Pendleton, 1x Powell, 1x Rockcastle, 1x Simpson, 1x Spencer, 1x Todd, 1x Trigg, 1x Trimble, 1x Union
Total tests conducted: 2,076,257 (PCR: 1,926,140, Serology: 86,479)
Positivity Rate: 6.25% - That's the highest since June 1st. Remember those in the red zone, we need you, we need you to be following the recommendations. Right now, our school system recommendations are just recommendations, we say as long as the rate is below 6%, but we don't think that will have to change from recommendations if we see the vast majority of businesses, of government, of school systems and others actually following the advice, because if you don't spread continues, it gets amplified.
Total hospitalized: 7,205
Currently hospitalized: 988
Total in ICU: 1,736
Currently in ICU: 270
On a ventilator: 142
Total recovered: 18,516
New deaths today: 3
Total Deaths: 1,492
New deaths by county: 82 M Hardin, 93 M Jessamine, 59 M (a healthcare worker) Whitley
We're going to be reaching out to that family (the healthcare worker), to see if they'll allow us to talk about his incredible work and story- that maybe would help other people recognize, again, what we are dealing with. Let's light our homes up green, let's ring our bells at 10am. 1,492 Kentuckians lost. Early on in the pandemic estimates were even so much higher than that. But then we had everybody, you know, really in this together, and we can get there again. Oh they shrank way below this. So what we're seeing right now is avoidable death. So think about that when you hear about somebody that you know, losing somebody important to them. That what we're dealing with right now is avoidable loss.
Racial breakdown of all cases: 80.94% Caucasian, 11.22% Black or African-American, 1.58% Asian, 5.83% Multiracial
Ethnicity breakdown of all cases: 90.87% non-Hispanic and 9.13% Hispanic
Racial breakdown of all deaths: 84.22% Caucasian, 11.96% Black or African-American, 0.94% Asian, 2.88% Multiracial
Ethnicity breakdown of all deaths: 96.79% non-Hispanic and 3.21% Hispanic
Long Term Care Facilities (PDF): 57 new residents and 39 new staff positive from yesterday, and 26 more deaths, 26 new facilities. We're going to be providing an update on, especially the amount of testing that we're doing in the facilities right now. But I don't want to sugarcoat it. If we have a red county, we try really hard, but we can't stop the virus from getting in. If community spread is so much, so high- it gets into school, it gets into the long term care facility, gets in everywhere. That's why if we don't follow the red zone recommendations, the county just be lucky to come out of it, and dealing with the virus, I wouldn't want to bet on luck. It was a coordinated response that we ought to want to do.
- Total facilities: 364
- Total deaths: 898
- Active cases: 1109 residents, 641 staff
- Total cases: 6495 residents, 4536 staff
Day Care Facilities: 9 new facilities, 7 new staff, 5 new children. 353 facilities, 292 staff, 212 children,
K-12 Update (PDF): PDF Update only
University Update (PDF): PDF Update only
So, another tough day but another opportunity to make sure that we're banding together to beat this virus. Remember, this week, if you are in a red county, let’s buckle down, let's do what it takes to lessen the virus in your community. It's up to you. It's up to me. It's up to absolutely everybody around you. This week, all the way through Sunday, let's make sure we're following that red zone recommendation guidance, We want to cancel as many public, private events that there are, don’t do gatherings of any size this week if you're in a red County, don't have people over to your house. Make sure that if you can work virtually, you do it. And employers, this is the best opportunity not to have it spread significantly throughout your facility. Please work with us on that. Support your local businesses this week: order carry out, curbside, takeout. Make sure that you reduce your in-person contacts by as much as you possibly can.
Alright, so today we're trying to do our part to lessen our contacts and that's why we're doing this press conference now entirely virtually. So as we open it up to questions we have some reporters who are going to be on the line, who are going to be able to ask their question directly. I'm only going to be able to hear it, and then respond to it so bear with us a little bit through it. And then I have about five written questions, and I will let Crystal Staley, who is our communications director, let me know when we have our first question.

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General Election Polling Discussion Thread (August 30th, 2020)

Introduction

Polls

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Polling Models

Prediction Markets

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General Election Polling Discussion Thread (Aug 9, 2020)

Introduction

Polls

Election Predictions

Prognosticators

Polling Models

Prediction Markets

Notes and Highlights of Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear’s Live Update November 2, 2020

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